Ayr United vs Ross County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Football Championship Ayr United - Ross County
Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 6
  • Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAyr United Media

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
75
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
75
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Walker E. , Watret D. (A),
  • 19', Docherty R. 🟨,
  • 22', White J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cornelius D. , Lindsay J. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Henderson J. ,
  • 70', Bonnar J. , Dempsey B. ,
  • 70', McMann S. , Oakley G. ,
  • 72', Gallagher D. 🟨,
  • 73', White J. , Scott J. ,
  • 73', Henderson J. , Mackay-Steven G. ,
  • 79', Walker E. , Dowds A. ,
  • 79', Main C. , Murphy J. ,
  • 82', O'Sullivan L. , Fraser S. ,
  • 90+3', McKenzie M. , Hastie J. ,

Chances of winning


Ayr United
41.8%
Draw
28.6%
Ross County
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 28.7% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.3% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayr United's performance.
  • Ross County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ross County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayr United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ross County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ayr United - Ross County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (3)
    3.49
    (3.2)
    3.42
    (2.27)
    0.7%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Ayr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
    Latest results of Ayr United
    30.08.2025 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:1
    09.08.2025 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 0:1
    01.08.2025 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1
    Latest results of Ross County
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone651014:31116
    2Raith73227:6111
    3Arbroath73228:12-411
    4Partick Thistle531110:10010
    5Dunfermline622210:648
    6Queen's Park61416:7-17
    7Morton70615:6-16
    8Ayr50415:6-14
    9Airdrieonians60334:8-43
    10Ross County70348:13-53

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One