Diocesano vs Azuaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Diocesano
32.3%
Draw
29.3%
Azuaga
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 27.5% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 26.8% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azuaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Diocesano - Azuaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (3.06)
    3.1
    (3.3)
    2.37
    (2.12)
    10.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1.
    • Diocesano is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Azuaga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Azuaga has had a series of home games.
    • Azuaga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Azuaga were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Diocesano - Azuaga 0:2
    22.09.2024 Azuaga - Diocesano 0:2
    17.03.2024 Diocesano - Azuaga 3:3
    29.10.2023 Azuaga - Diocesano 2:1
    Latest results of Diocesano
    07.12.2025 Gévora - Diocesano 0:0
    23.11.2025 Diocesano - Calamonte 1:1
    09.11.2025 Diocesano - Jaraíz 2:3
    02.11.2025 Montehermoso - Diocesano 1:1
    Latest results of Azuaga
    07.12.2025 Azuaga - Villafranca 1:1
    23.11.2025 Azuaga - Don Benito 2:1
    16.11.2025 Azuaga - Santa Amalia 1:0
    09.11.2025 Azuaga - Jerez 3:3
    02.11.2025 Gévora - Azuaga 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito27167455:193655
    2Moralo27158446:262053
    3CD Badajoz27165641:241750
    4Azuaga27147640:261449
    5Jaraiz27139546:252148
    6Cabeza del Buey271112434:211345
    7Villanovense27118834:29541
    8Villafranca271161032:32039
    9Jerez CF27715547:38936
    10Llerenense271051227:32-535
    11Montijo27961230:33-333
    12Puebla27711928:36-832
    13Santa Amalia27951327:39-1232
    14Gevora27681326:41-1526
    15Diocesano26491323:45-2221
    16CD Calamonte273111320:33-1320
    17Montehermoso27471619:46-2719
    18Pueblonuevo26451719:49-3017

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation