Shimal vs Baku Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Qla A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shimal
12.3%
Draw
22.7%
Baku Sporting
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.3% 22.2% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8% 21.5% 65.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Baku Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Shimal - Baku Sporting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.49
    (6.3)
    4.62
    (4.05)
    1.61
    (1.42)
    -4.5%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Shimal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sporting has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shimal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimal - Baku Sporting were as follows:
    17.12.2025 Shimal - Baku Sporting 0:1
    25.09.2025 Baku Sporting - Shimal 4:1
    Latest results of Shimal
    16.04.2026 Səbail - Shimal 4:0
    09.04.2026 Shimal - Mingachevir 0:3
    03.04.2026 Shahdag Qusar - Shimal 0:2
    19.03.2026 Shimal - Zagatala 0:0
    11.03.2026 Shimal - Şəfa 0:2
    Latest results of Baku Sporting
    16.04.2026 Baku Sporting - Şəfa 0:0
    08.04.2026 Baku Sporting - MOIK Baku 3:1
    02.04.2026 Səbail - Baku Sporting 1:0
    Azerbaijan First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Safa Baku ✔ 24158150:193153
    2Sabail24137442:172546
    3Mingachevir24136548:232545
    4Baku Sporting24119433:201342
    5Sahdag Qusar24115833:26738
    6MOIK Baku24851127:36-929
    7Zaqatala24741325:37-1225
    8Cebrayil24731436:49-1324
    9Shimal24441619:57-3816
    10Difai Agsu24351627:56-2914

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