Result
0:1
01/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (189/263) | 83% (394/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (189/263) | 83% (394/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 54% (20/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (64/97) | 74% (103/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 29% (10/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Simek D. 🟨,
- 11', Havran M. 🟨,
- 37', Simek D. 🟨,
- 42', Holzer D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Havran M. ↓, Buchta D. ↑,
- 51', Munksgaard A. 🟨,
- 60', Plavsic S. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
- 62', Teah D. ↓, Bammens S. ↑,
- 70', Planka D. 🟨,
- 70', Frydrych M. 🟨,
- 73', Simek S. ↓, Lexa M. ↑,
- 73', Smekal D. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 75', Munksgaard A. ↓, Frydek Ch. ↑,
- 75', Pira J. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Almasi L. ⚽, Planka D. (A),
- 82', Reznicek J. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
- 82', Botos G. ↓, Tanko A. ↑,
- 89', Almasi L. 🟨,
- 90', Zlatohlavek T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Holzer D. ↓, Sehic E. ↑,
- 90+4', Budinsky V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pardubice
32.9% | Draw
27.2% | Baník Ostrava
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pardubice's performance.Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pardubice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+16.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pardubice - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↓
(4.49) |
3.53 ↓
(3.96) |
2.38 ↑
(1.67) |
3.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pardubice - Baník Ostrava?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pardubice will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pardubice (votes: 1 - 20%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to european competitions.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 0.
- Pardubice is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Baník Ostrava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pardubice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Baník Ostrava is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D.
(Convalescence)
Noslin J.
(Convalescence)
Simon D.
(Injury)
Solil T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Baník Ostrava?
Pardubice has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Pardubice?
Baník Ostrava has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pardubice - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
29.03.2025
Baník Ostrava
-
Pardubice
5:2
05.03.2025
Pardubice
-
Baník Ostrava
0:2
26.10.2024
Pardubice
-
Baník Ostrava
2:3
17.03.2024
Pardubice
-
Baník Ostrava
0:1
07.10.2023
Baník Ostrava
-
Pardubice
1:1
Latest results of Pardubice
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jablonec | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Zlin | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Plzen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 7 | Karvina | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Liberec | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Teplice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovacko | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
