Pardubice vs Baník Ostrava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Czech 1 Liga Pardubice - Baník Ostrava
Result
0:1
01/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Chance Liga - Round 5

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.09
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
72% (189/263)83% (394/473)
Yellow Cards
28
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.78
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1012
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2033
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
179
Passes
72% (189/263)83% (394/473)
Long passes
42% (27/65)54% (20/37)
Passes in final third
66% (64/97)74% (103/139)
Crosses
35% (8/23)29% (10/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.46
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
917
Tackles
50% (12/24)67% (6/9)
Duels won
6339
Clearances
3526
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.780.65
Goals prevented
-0.220.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Simek D. 🟨,
  • 11', Havran M. 🟨,
  • 37', Simek D. 🟨,
  • 42', Holzer D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Havran M. , Buchta D. ,
  • 51', Munksgaard A. 🟨,
  • 60', Plavsic S. , Almasi L. ,
  • 62', Teah D. , Bammens S. ,
  • 70', Planka D. 🟨,
  • 70', Frydrych M. 🟨,
  • 73', Simek S. , Lexa M. ,
  • 73', Smekal D. , Vecheta F. ,
  • 75', Munksgaard A. , Frydek Ch. ,
  • 75', Pira J. , Zlatohlavek T. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Almasi L. , Planka D. (A),
  • 82', Reznicek J. , Sancl F. ,
  • 82', Botos G. , Tanko A. ,
  • 89', Almasi L. 🟨,
  • 90', Zlatohlavek T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Holzer D. , Sehic E. ,
  • 90+4', Budinsky V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pardubice
32.9%
Draw
27.2%
Baník Ostrava
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.7% 23.5% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4% 23.8% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pardubice's performance.
  • Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pardubice that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pardubice - Baník Ostrava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (4.49)
    3.53
    (3.96)
    2.38
    (1.67)
    3.6%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pardubice - Baník Ostrava?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Pardubice will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Pardubice (votes: 1 - 20%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to european competitions.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 0.
    • Pardubice is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Baník Ostrava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Pardubice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Baník Ostrava is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D. (Convalescence) Noslin J. (Convalescence) Simon D. (Injury) Solil T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 1.1:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pardubice won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pardubice - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Baník Ostrava - Pardubice 5:2
    05.03.2025 Pardubice - Baník Ostrava 0:2
    26.10.2024 Pardubice - Baník Ostrava 2:3
    17.03.2024 Pardubice - Baník Ostrava 0:1
    07.10.2023 Baník Ostrava - Pardubice 1:1
    Latest results of Pardubice
    28.09.2025 Teplice - Pardubice 0:0
    20.09.2025 Pardubice - Slovácko 1:1
    14.09.2025 Jablonec - Pardubice 3:2
    30.08.2025 Pardubice - Bohemians 1905 1:1
    Latest results of Baník Ostrava
    Czech 1 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sparta Prague1081122:101225
    2Slavia Prague1073021:71424
    3Jablonec1073016:61024
    4Zlin1052313:11217
    5Plzen1043317:10715
    6Karvina1050516:14215
    7Liberec1043315:13215
    8Sigma Olomouc104337:6115
    9Bohemians94239:10-114
    10Hradec Kralove1033414:16-212
    11Ostrava102357:12-59
    12Mlada Boleslav922515:24-98
    13Dukla Prague101457:14-77
    14Slovacko101366:13-76
    15Teplice101369:17-86
    16FK Pardubice100469:20-114

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