Result
0:2
17/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 25
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (91/104) | 71% (35/49) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (91/104) | 71% (35/49) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 36% (4/11) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 45% (5/11) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 33% (1/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.98 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Ledesma A. ↓, Juambeltz M. ↑,
- 42', Carabali B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Oyola B. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 46', Parrales M. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Juambeltz M. ⚽,
- 63', Valiente J. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
- 63', Vallecilla G. ↓, Chala A. ↑,
- 66', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
- 66', Viera M. ↓, Mesa Mercado E. E. ↑,
- 74', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
- 81', Gonzalez P. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 81', Tello M. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Jimenez J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil 65.6% | Draw 22.6% | Deportivo Macará 11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.42) |
4.08 ↓ (4.38) |
7.61 ↑ (7.16) |
8.4% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Macará will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Macará (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4.
- Barcelona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Macará has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Barcelona is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Deportivo Macará?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
26.04.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:1
15.09.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Deportivo Macará
2:1
29.03.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:1
10.09.2022
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Deportivo Macará
5:3
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Aucas | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )