Universitario de Deportes vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ESPN South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.00
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
74% (279/376)82% (386/469)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.931.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.721.22
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
411
Passes
74% (279/376)82% (386/469)
Long passes
43% (29/67)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
63% (82/131)79% (138/174)
Crosses
48% (12/25)22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.11
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
114
Tackles
70% (16/23)46% (11/24)
Duels won
5160
Clearances
4226
Interceptions
178
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.221.72
Goals prevented
1.220.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', Corzo A. 🟨,
  • 38', Rivero O. 🟨,
  • 38', Valera A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Valera A. , Concha J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Carabali J. 🟨,
  • 54', Urena R. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 61', Castillo Segura B. D. , Caicedo F. ,
  • 69', Flores E. , Rivera J. ,
  • 69', Inga C. , Perez M. ,
  • 77', Souza de Almeida L. , Valiente J. ,
  • 77', Oyola B. , Arroyo D. ,
  • 77', Concha J. , Velez J. ,
  • 90', Jesus Trindade , Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
45.3%
Draw
30%
Barcelona Guayaquil
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 31.1% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 30.6% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.34)
    3.13
    (3.04)
    3.8
    (3.34)
    6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Uni de Deportes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Uni de Deportes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Mario Pineida (Injury) Pinargote Lara K. D. (Muscle Injury) Rangel A. (Knee Injury) Rojas J. (Broken Leg)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    22.04.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Universitario de Deportes 0:1
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)