Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (239/304) | 84% (314/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (239/304) | 84% (314/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 38% (15/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (68/100) | 77% (88/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.06 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 83% (20/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 58 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', Benali A. 🟨,
- 29', Dorval M. 🟨,
- 33', Giovane S. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Simic L. ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 1, Torregrossa E. ⚽, Finotto M. (A),
- 45+2', Obaretin N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Giovane S. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 1, Guarino G. ⚽, Cicconi M. (A),
- 56', Torregrossa E. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
- 60', Simic L. 🟨,
- 64', Pereiro G. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
- 64', Benali A. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
- 64', Bonfanti N. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 64', Simic L. ↓, Vicari F. ↑,
- 76', Oliveri A. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 77', Finotto M. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
- 77', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 84', Guarino G. ↓, Fontanarosa A. ↑,
- 85', Cicconi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
38.2% | Draw
31.1% | Bari
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Carrarese - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.37) |
3.02 ↓
(3.16) |
3.05 ↑
(3.04) |
6.7%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Bari?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Bari will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.1% – 91.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Bari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M.
(Knock)
Oliana F.
(Yellow Cards)
Shpendi S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bari: Lella N.
(Inactive)
Tripaldelli A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Carrarese: Guarino G.
(Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Bari?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Carrarese?
Bari has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Bari were as follows:
29.10.2024
Bari
-
Carrarese
0:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
