Result
1:0
10/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 19
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (277/369) | 81% (364/448) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (277/369) | 81% (364/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (78/111) | 69% (98/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Abiuso F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Castrovilli G. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Abiuso F. ⚽, Calabrese N. (A),
- 62', Maggiore G. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 62', Gytkjaer C. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
- 66', Belloni N. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
- 66', Finotto M. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
- 74', Pucino R. ↓, Colangiuli V. ↑,
- 84', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 84', Zuelli E. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 84', Mane M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 88', Hasa L. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
45.4% | Draw
30.1% | Bari
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Carrarese - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.79) |
3.14 ↓
(3.33) |
3.79 ↓
(4.33) |
7.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Bari?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Bari will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 23.2% – 63.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bari (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Carrarese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Bari has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Carrarese is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bari: Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Dorval M.
(International duty)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Bari?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Carrarese?
Bari has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Bari were as follows:
30.03.2025
Carrarese
-
Bari
2:1
29.10.2024
Bari
-
Carrarese
0:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
