Result
0:1
08/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 29
- Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (343/425) | 70% (198/283) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (343/425) | 70% (198/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 33% (23/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (102/139) | 53% (51/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/34) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Le Douaron J. (A),
- 44', Torregrossa E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gyasi E. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
- 46', Gomes C. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
- 51', Peda P. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 65', Le Douaron J. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
- 66', Melegoni F. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 67', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
- 78', Torregrossa E. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 87', Palumbo A. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 87', Hasa L. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
- 87', Calabrese N. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 90', Finotto M. 🟨,
- 90', Bani M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
26.5% | Draw
29.2% | Palermo
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Carrarese - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↓
(3.56) |
3.21 ↓
(3.33) |
2.13 ↑
(2.01) |
6.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Palermo will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 30.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Palermo (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palermo will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent form of Carrarese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palermo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Abiuso F.
(Yellow Cards)
Abiuso F.
(Red Card)
Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Bouah D.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Schiavi N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Palermo: Blin A.
(Red Card)
Pierozzi N.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Palermo?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Carrarese?
Palermo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Palermo were as follows:
29.11.2025
Palermo
-
Carrarese
5:0
13.05.2025
Palermo
-
Carrarese
1:1
07.12.2024
Carrarese
-
Palermo
1:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
