Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (280/392) | 50% (119/238) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (280/392) | 50% (119/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/69) | 24% (20/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (113/172) | 40% (35/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Kizzi J. 🟥,
- 19', Browne R. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 28', Kanu I. 🟨,
- 32', Khouri E. 🟨,
- 41', Tharme D. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 0, Sweeney J. ⚽, Burns D. (A),
- 66', Kanu I. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 69', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
- 72', Burns D. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
- 73', Vernam C. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
- 80', Ndlovu L. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
36.6% | Draw
27.9% | Barnet
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Grimsby Town - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.62) |
3.34 ↓
(3.53) |
2.62 ↑
(2.43) |
7.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Barnet will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.
- Grimsby is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barnet has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grimsby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pym C.
(Inactive)
Svanthorsson J.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Rose D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Glover R.
(Inactive)
Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
Stead C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 2.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Barnet?
Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Grimsby Town?
Barnet has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Barnet were as follows:
20.09.2025
Barnet
-
Grimsby Town
3:0
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
