Barnet vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Barnet - Grimsby Town
Result
3:0
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 9
  • Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.36
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
58% (171/294)55% (156/285)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.300.06
Total shots
197
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
69
Passes
58% (171/294)55% (156/285)
Long passes
31% (26/83)20% (18/88)
Passes in final third
55% (86/156)51% (44/86)
Crosses
24% (7/29)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.16
Throw-ins
3836
Fouls
96
Tackles
50% (7/14)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6462
Clearances
1750
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.062.30
Goals prevented
0.06-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Collinge D. 🟨,
  • 28', Shelton M. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Ofoborh N. , Shelton M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', 2 - 0, Ndlovu L. , Kanu I. (A),
  • 65', Kabia J. , Burns D. ,
  • 65', Walker J. , Oduor C. ,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Ofoborh N. , Smith K. (A),
  • 73', Khouri E. , Turi G. D. ,
  • 74', Vernam C. , Soonsup-Bell J. ,
  • 77', Glover R. , Osadebe E. ,
  • 78', Staunton R. , Sweeney J. ,
  • 80', Stead C. , Stutter R. ,
  • 81', Ndlovu L. , Hawkins O. ,
  • 81', Smith K. , Galvin R. ,
  • 86', Shelton M. , Adeniran D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barnet
49.2%
Draw
26.8%
Grimsby Town
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 26.1% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 25.3% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnet's performance.
  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grimsby Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barnet - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.21)
    3.84
    (3.58)
    4.72
    (2.95)
    -2.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Barnet - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Barnet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Inactive) Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Rose D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.6:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).
    Latest results of Barnet
    13.09.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Barnet 1:2
    06.09.2025 Barnet - Shrewsbury Town 1:3
    02.09.2025 Luton Town - Barnet 4:1
    30.08.2025 Barnet - Colchester United 1:1
    23.08.2025 Cheltenham Town - Barnet 0:1
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League