Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Castro
53.8% | Draw
26% | Barquereño
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Barquereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Castro - Barquereño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.66) |
3.53 ↓
(3.65) |
4.54 ↑
(4.42) |
9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).
- Recent form of Castro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barquereño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Barquereño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Castro is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Barquereño?
Castro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barquereño won against Castro?
Barquereño has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Barquereño were as follows:
19.10.2025
Barquereño
-
Castro
0:0
26.01.2025
Castro
-
Barquereño
2:0
15.09.2024
Barquereño
-
Castro
0:0
Latest results of Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 61:9 | 52 | 59 |
| 2 | Tropezon | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 37:19 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Laredo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:19 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 | Escobedo | 24 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 46:29 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Vimenor | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Atletico Albericia | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 44 |
| 7 | Guarnizo | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Cayon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Torina | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Castro | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 32 |
| 11 | Bezana | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 13 | Revilla | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:46 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | UC Cartes | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 15 | Noja | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16:40 | -24 | 17 |
| 16 | Montanas | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25:64 | -39 | 16 |
| 17 | Selaya | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14:32 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | CD Colindres | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 14:34 | -20 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
