Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Castro
53.8% | Draw
26% | Barquereño
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Barquereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barquereño than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Castro - Barquereño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.66) |
3.53 ↓
(3.65) |
4.54 ↑
(4.42) |
9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).
- Recent form of Castro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barquereño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Barquereño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Castro is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Castro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Castro won against Barquereño?
Castro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barquereño won against Castro?
Barquereño has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castro - Barquereño were as follows:
19.10.2025
Barquereño
-
Castro
0:0
26.01.2025
Castro
-
Barquereño
2:0
15.09.2024
Barquereño
-
Castro
0:0
Latest results of Barquereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Torrelavega | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 70:12 | 58 | 71 |
| 2 | Laredo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 56:24 | 32 | 63 |
| 3 | Tropezon | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 45:24 | 21 | 60 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 39:22 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | Atletico Albericia | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 54:33 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 | Escobedo | 30 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 53:38 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Vimenor | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 55 |
| 8 | Cayon | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Torina | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 33:36 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Bezana | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Castro | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 41:40 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | CD Barquereno | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 28 |
| 13 | UC Cartes | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 24:46 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | CD Colindres | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Revilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 31:59 | -28 | 24 |
| 16 | Selaya | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 17 | Montanas | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29:78 | -49 | 20 |
| 18 | Noja | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 19:55 | -36 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
