Grenoble vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Grenoble - Bastia
Result
0:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.310.19
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
83% (395/478)70% (206/295)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.310.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.55
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
177
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
915
Passes
83% (395/478)70% (206/295)
Long passes
60% (31/52)34% (22/65)
Passes in final third
75% (98/131)28% (16/58)
Crosses
41% (11/27)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.13
Throw-ins
2929
Fouls
159
Tackles
80% (16/20)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5053
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.550.19
Goals prevented
0.550.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Rizzetto F. 🟨,
  • 31', Mbock H. 🟨,
  • 41', Sebas J. 🟥,
  • 43', Diop M. , Allain B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Aiki A. , Guevara J. ,
  • 55', Kerouedan A. 🟨,
  • 58', Boutrah A. 🟨,
  • 58', Paquiez G. 🟨,
  • 62', Kerouedan A. , Diaby Y. ,
  • 62', Vidal C. , Delos S. ,
  • 72', Bangre M. , Benet J. ,
  • 78', Meynadier T. , Tomi F. ,
  • 85', Zahui N. , Maurin E. ,
  • 85', Elphege N. , Djitte M. ,
  • 90', Boutrah A. , Zaouai A. ,
  • 90', Ducrocq T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grenoble
34.4%
Draw
33.6%
Bastia
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 29.7% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 30% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bastia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Grenoble - Bastia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.96)
    2.94
    (3.16)
    3.34
    (2.44)
    -0.9%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Grenoble - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2.
    • Grenoble has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bastia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bastia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Bangre M. (Inactive) Benet J. (Injury) Diba S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Injury) Bohnert F. (Injury) Etoga L. (Injury) Olmeta L. (International duty) Parravicini N. (Injury) Vincent C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bastia: Bathily Y. (Injury) Ble M. (Injury) Roncaglia A. (Illness)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grenoble - Bastia were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
    03.01.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 3:2
    02.03.2024 Bastia - Grenoble 1:0
    02.09.2023 Grenoble - Bastia 0:0
    28.01.2023 Grenoble - Bastia 0:1
    Latest results of Grenoble
    23.09.2025 Le Mans - Grenoble 1:0
    19.09.2025 Grenoble - Annecy 1:3
    13.09.2025 Grenoble - Dunkerque 1:0
    30.08.2025 Saint-Étienne - Grenoble 1:1
    22.08.2025 Clermont - Grenoble 2:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    23.09.2025 Bastia - Rodez 2:3
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Amiens - Bastia 0:0
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes962119:91020
    2Pau FC962116:8820
    3St Etienne852117:10717
    4Red Star952215:9617
    5Reims942314:13114
    6Guingamp942316:19-314
    7Nancy933310:11-112
    8Rodez93338:11-312
    9Montpellier83238:8011
    10Dunkerque924316:14210
    11Le Mans924311:12-110
    12Clermont92439:13-410
    13Amiens923411:13-29
    14Grenoble923410:12-29
    15Annecy92349:12-39
    16Boulogne93067:11-49
    17Laval91537:11-48
    18Bastia90454:11-74

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National