Result
0:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (395/478) | 70% (206/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (395/478) | 70% (206/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (31/52) | 34% (22/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (98/131) | 28% (16/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Rizzetto F. 🟨,
- 31', Mbock H. 🟨,
- 41', Sebas J. 🟥,
- 43', Diop M. ↓, Allain B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aiki A. ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
- 55', Kerouedan A. 🟨,
- 58', Boutrah A. 🟨,
- 58', Paquiez G. 🟨,
- 62', Kerouedan A. ↓, Diaby Y. ↑,
- 62', Vidal C. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
- 72', Bangre M. ↓, Benet J. ↑,
- 78', Meynadier T. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
- 85', Zahui N. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
- 85', Elphege N. ↓, Djitte M. ↑,
- 90', Boutrah A. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
- 90', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grenoble
34.4% | Draw
33.6% | Bastia
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bastia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grenoble - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(2.96) |
2.94 ↓
(3.16) |
3.34 ↑
(2.44) |
-0.9%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grenoble - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2.
- Grenoble has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bastia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Bastia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Grenoble: Bangre M.
(Inactive)
Benet J.
(Injury)
Diba S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Injury)
Bohnert F.
(Injury)
Etoga L.
(Injury)
Olmeta L.
(International duty)
Parravicini N.
(Injury)
Vincent C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bastia: Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Ble M.
(Injury)
Roncaglia A.
(Illness)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grenoble won against Bastia?
Grenoble has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Grenoble?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grenoble - Bastia were as follows:
25.04.2025
Bastia
-
Grenoble
2:3
03.01.2025
Grenoble
-
Bastia
3:2
02.03.2024
Bastia
-
Grenoble
1:0
02.09.2023
Grenoble
-
Bastia
0:0
28.01.2023
Grenoble
-
Bastia
0:1
Latest results of Grenoble
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
