Result
2:3
25/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (475/533) | 79% (215/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (475/533) | 79% (215/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (31/47) | 56% (31/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (123/166) | 71% (53/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Akueson G. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Valls T. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Vincent C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', Akueson G. ↓, Roncaglia A. ↑,
- 65', Elphege N. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Jabbari A. ⚽,
- 78', Vincent C. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
- 78', Olaitan J. ↓, Zahui N. ↑,
- 78', Diaby Y. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 78', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 82', Jabbari A. 🟨,
- 84', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Cisse L. ⚽, Tomi F. (A),
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Sylvestre E. ⚽,
- 90+3', Guidi D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Delos S. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bastia
63.9% | Draw
21.8% | Grenoble
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4%)
Bastia - Grenoble Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.63) |
4.32 ↑
(3.88) |
6.57 ↑
(5) |
5.5%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bastia - Grenoble?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Grenoble will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3.
- Recent matches Bastia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Grenoble is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Bastia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bastia: Etoga L.
(Injury)
Guevara J.
(Injury)
Tramoni L.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Grenoble: Allain B.
(Inactive)
Diarra M.
(Inactive)
Diba S.
(Inactive)
Jabbari A.
(Inactive)
Mbemba N.
(Injury)
Mendy A.
(Inactive)
Nestor L.
(Knee Injury)
Touray S.
(Inactive)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Grenoble?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grenoble won against Bastia?
Grenoble has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Grenoble were as follows:
03.01.2025
Grenoble
-
Bastia
3:2
02.03.2024
Bastia
-
Grenoble
1:0
02.09.2023
Grenoble
-
Bastia
0:0
28.01.2023
Grenoble
-
Bastia
0:1
Latest results of Grenoble
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Guingamp | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Red Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
