Result
0:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.31 | 0.19 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
83% (395/478) | 70% (206/295) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.31 | 0.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.19 | 0.55 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 7 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
83% (395/478) | 70% (206/295) |
Long passes |
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60% (31/52) | 34% (22/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (98/131) | 28% (16/58) |
Crosses |
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41% (11/27) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.22 | 0.13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (16/20) | 63% (12/19) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.55 | 0.19 |
Goals prevented |
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0.55 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Rizzetto F. 🟨,
- 31', Mbock H. 🟨,
- 41', Sebas J. 🟥,
- 43', Diop M. ↓, Allain B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aiki A. ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
- 55', Kerouedan A. 🟨,
- 58', Boutrah A. 🟨,
- 58', Paquiez G. 🟨,
- 62', Kerouedan A. ↓, Diaby Y. ↑,
- 62', Vidal C. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
- 72', Bangre M. ↓, Benet J. ↑,
- 78', Meynadier T. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
- 85', Zahui N. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
- 85', Elphege N. ↓, Djitte M. ↑,
- 90', Boutrah A. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
- 90', Ducrocq T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grenoble 34.4% | Draw 33.6% | Bastia 31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bastia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grenoble - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.85 ↓ (2.96) |
2.94 ↓ (3.16) |
3.34 ↑ (2.44) |
-0.9% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grenoble - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2.
- Grenoble has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bastia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Bastia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Grenoble: Bangre M.
(Inactive)
Benet J.
(Injury)
Diba S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Injury)
Bohnert F.
(Injury)
Etoga L.
(Injury)
Olmeta L.
(International duty)
Parravicini N.
(Injury)
Vincent C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bastia: Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Ble M.
(Injury)
Roncaglia A.
(Illness)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grenoble won against Bastia?
Grenoble has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Grenoble?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grenoble - Bastia were as follows:
25.04.2025
Bastia
-
Grenoble
2:3
03.01.2025
Grenoble
-
Bastia
3:2
02.03.2024
Bastia
-
Grenoble
1:0
02.09.2023
Grenoble
-
Bastia
0:0
28.01.2023
Grenoble
-
Bastia
0:1
Latest results of Grenoble
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
2 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
3 | St Etienne | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
9 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National