Grenoble vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.310.19
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
83% (395/478)70% (206/295)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.310.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.55
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
177
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
915
Passes
83% (395/478)70% (206/295)
Long passes
60% (31/52)34% (22/65)
Passes in final third
75% (98/131)28% (16/58)
Crosses
41% (11/27)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.13
Throw-ins
2929
Fouls
159
Tackles
80% (16/20)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5053
Clearances
1928
Interceptions
1016
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.550.19
Goals prevented
0.550.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Rizzetto F. 🟨,
  • 31', Mbock H. 🟨,
  • 41', Sebas J. 🟥,
  • 43', Diop M. , Allain B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Aiki A. , Guevara J. ,
  • 55', Kerouedan A. 🟨,
  • 58', Boutrah A. 🟨,
  • 58', Paquiez G. 🟨,
  • 62', Kerouedan A. , Diaby Y. ,
  • 62', Vidal C. , Delos S. ,
  • 72', Bangre M. , Benet J. ,
  • 78', Meynadier T. , Tomi F. ,
  • 85', Zahui N. , Maurin E. ,
  • 85', Elphege N. , Djitte M. ,
  • 90', Boutrah A. , Zaouai A. ,
  • 90', Ducrocq T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grenoble
34.4%
Draw
33.6%
Bastia
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 29.7% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 30% 38.1%

Grenoble - Bastia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.85
(2.96)
2.94
(3.16)
3.34
(2.44)
-0.9%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grenoble - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2.
    • Grenoble has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bastia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bastia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Grenoble: Bangre M. (Inactive) Benet J. (Injury) Diba S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Injury) Bohnert F. (Injury) Etoga L. (Injury) Olmeta L. (International duty) Parravicini N. (Injury) Vincent C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bastia: Bathily Y. (Injury) Ble M. (Injury) Roncaglia A. (Illness)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grenoble - Bastia were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
    03.01.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 3:2
    02.03.2024 Bastia - Grenoble 1:0
    02.09.2023 Grenoble - Bastia 0:0
    28.01.2023 Grenoble - Bastia 0:1
    Latest results of Grenoble
    23.09.2025 Le Mans - Grenoble 1:0
    19.09.2025 Grenoble - Annecy 1:3
    13.09.2025 Grenoble - Dunkerque 1:0
    30.08.2025 Saint-Étienne - Grenoble 1:1
    22.08.2025 Clermont - Grenoble 2:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    23.09.2025 Bastia - Rodez 2:3
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Amiens - Bastia 0:0
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1695228:151332
    2St Etienne1692533:231029
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Le Mans1676320:16427
    5Pau FC1675422:23-126
    6Reims1574428:20825
    7Dunkerque1666427:18924
    8Montpellier1673617:15224
    9Guingamp1665524:28-423
    10Annecy1664620:16422
    11Grenoble1655618:20-220
    12Clermont1647516:20-419
    13Rodez1646616:22-618
    14Boulogne1644817:24-716
    15Laval1536612:16-415
    16Amiens1643919:25-615
    17Nancy1643914:22-815
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National