Laval vs Bastia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval).

Ligue 2 - Round 19
Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.13	0.92
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
4	11
Shots on target
2	5
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
6	3
Passes
73% (236/323)	82% (392/478)
Yellow cards
5	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.13	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.62
Total shots
4	11
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
1	5
Blocked shots
1	1
Shots inside the box
2	5
Shots outside the box
2	6
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
9	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
18	17
Passes
73% (236/323)	82% (392/478)
Long passes
41% (27/66)	43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
36% (27/74)	68% (67/98)
Crosses
5% (1/21)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.27	0.62
Throw ins
24	18
Fouls
17	18
Tackles
80% (16/20)	39% (9/23)
Duels won
60	66
Clearances
21	29
Interceptions
15	16
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.62	0.04
Goals prevented
-1.38	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Sebas J. 🟨,
41', Mandouki C. 🟨,
43', Sanna S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Zaouai A. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Sebas J. ⚽, Zaouai A. (A),
68', Maggiotti J. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
68', Maddy E. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,
68', Mandouki C. ↓, Vargas T. ↑,
70', Aiki A. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
71', Camara M. 🟨,
75', Tavares Y. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Tomi F. ⚽,
80', Dago T. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
82', Sebas J. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
85', Bianda W. 🟨,
90+1', Tomi F. ↓, Lebas da Silva V. ↑,
90+5', Clavreul E. 🟨,
90+5', Meynadier T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Laval
37.2%

Draw
32.9%

Bastia
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

32.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Laval - Bastia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.35)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	7.3% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Laval - Bastia?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Laval (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2.
Laval has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bastia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Laval has had a series of away games.
Laval could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Laval: Commaret M. (Muscle Injury) Thomas T. (Hand Injury)
There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Knee Injury) Bathily Y. (Injury) Djedje D. (Injury) Guevara J. (Yellow Cards) Parravicini N. (Hernia) Zilliox N. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Laval: Maggiotti J. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Bastia?

Laval has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Laval?

Bastia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Bastia were as follows:

25.11.2025 Bastia - Laval 0:2

14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2

08.11.2024 Laval - Bastia 2:2

30.03.2024 Laval - Bastia 1:2

16.09.2023 Bastia - Laval 0:3

Latest results of Laval

10.01.2026 Istres - Laval 0:2 ✺

03.01.2026 Clermont - Laval 4:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Guingamp - Laval 0:1 ✺

12.12.2025 Laval - Dunkerque 1:2 ✺

08.12.2025 Reims - Laval 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Bastia

10.01.2026 Bastia - Troyes 0:2 ✺

03.01.2026 Bastia - Grenoble 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Pontivy - Bastia 0:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Saint-Étienne - Bastia 2:2 ✺

05.12.2025 Bastia - Red Star Abandoned ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	27	16	6	5	44:27	17	54
2	St Etienne	27	15	5	7	46:29	17	50
3	Le Mans	27	12	11	4	37:26	11	47
4	Red Star	27	12	8	7	31:27	4	44
5	Reims	27	11	10	6	39:26	13	43
6	Rodez	27	11	10	6	34:32	2	43
7	Montpellier	27	12	5	10	33:25	8	41
8	Dunkerque	27	10	9	8	42:29	13	39
9	Annecy	27	11	6	10	35:30	5	39
10	Guingamp	27	10	9	8	38:38	0	39
11	Pau FC	27	10	8	9	40:44	-4	38
12	Boulogne	27	9	6	12	30:38	-8	33
13	Grenoble	27	6	12	9	24:30	-6	30
14	Clermont	27	7	7	13	30:36	-6	28
15	Nancy	27	7	6	14	24:40	-16	27
16	Amiens	27	6	5	16	30:46	-16	23
17	Laval	27	3	11	13	21:39	-18	20
18	Bastia	27	3	10	14	14:30	-16	19

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National