Result
0:2
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (236/323) | 82% (392/478) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (236/323) | 82% (392/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 36% (27/74) | 68% (67/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/21) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 39% (9/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Sebas J. 🟨,
- 41', Mandouki C. 🟨,
- 43', Sanna S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Zaouai A. 🟨,
- 62', 0 - 1, Sebas J. ⚽, Zaouai A. (A),
- 68', Maggiotti J. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 68', Maddy E. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,
- 68', Mandouki C. ↓, Vargas T. ↑,
- 70', Aiki A. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
- 71', Camara M. 🟨,
- 75', Tavares Y. ↓, Tchokounte M. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Tomi F. ⚽,
- 80', Dago T. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
- 82', Sebas J. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
- 85', Bianda W. 🟨,
- 90+1', Tomi F. ↓, Lebas da Silva V. ↑,
- 90+5', Clavreul E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Meynadier T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Laval
37.2% | Draw
32.9% | Bastia
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Laval - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.35) |
2.83 ↓
(2.93) |
3.14 ↓
(3.3) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Laval - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Laval (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Laval (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2.
- Laval has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bastia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Laval has had a series of away games.
- Laval could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Laval: Commaret M.
(Muscle Injury)
Thomas T.
(Hand Injury)
- There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Knee Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Guevara J.
(Yellow Cards)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Laval: Maggiotti J.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Laval won against Bastia?
Laval has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Laval?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Laval - Bastia were as follows:
25.11.2025
Bastia
-
Laval
0:2
14.04.2025
Bastia
-
Laval
5:2
08.11.2024
Laval
-
Bastia
2:2
30.03.2024
Laval
-
Bastia
1:2
16.09.2023
Bastia
-
Laval
0:3
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Reims | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Red Star | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 38 |
| 7 | Annecy | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Rodez | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Nancy | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Clermont | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Amiens | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Bastia | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12:25 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Laval | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
