Result
1:1
31/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.67 | 1.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
22 | 5 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 18 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 18 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 18 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
25 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
70% (156/222) | 86% (373/435) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
53% (40/76) | 72% (73/101) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (3/13) | 31% (5/16) |
Tackles |
---|
56% (10/18) | 58% (7/12) |
Clearances Total |
---|
24 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Ble M. ⚽,
- 36', Lo A. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
- 39', Etoga L. 🟨,
- 43', Vincent C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gueye I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
- 58', Meynadier T. 🟨,
- 65', Etoga L. 🟨,
- 66', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 66', Kouao K. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 70', Ble M. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
- 83', Stambouli B. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
- 83', Gueye I. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 89', Placide J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 90+4', Vincent C. ↓, Guevara J. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Hein G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Bastia 29.7% | Draw 30.3% | Metz 40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia's form might have worsened.Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bastia - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.18 ↑ (2.68) |
3.1 ↑ (3.05) |
2.35 ↓ (2.75) |
6.2% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Metz?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Metz will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2.
- Bastia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Metz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Bastia: Guevara J.
(Injury)
Tomi F.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Bastia won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:0 (average 2.2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Metz?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Bastia?
Metz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Metz were as follows:
19.08.2024
Metz
-
Bastia
1:1
02.06.2023
Metz
-
Bastia
3:2
17.09.2022
Bastia
-
Metz
1:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National