Result
0:0
30/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (426/523) | 60% (121/202) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (426/523) | 60% (121/202) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/75) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (75/127) | 59% (42/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Gelin J. ↓, Barbier H. ↑,
- 54', Bouriaud T. 🟨,
- 57', Bohnert F. 🟨,
- 63', Bamba R. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
- 66', Ariss Z. 🟨,
- 68', Nahounou Y. 🟨,
- 73', Eickmayer J. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
- 73', Vincent C. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
- 78', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
- 78', Bouriaud T. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 78', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 80', Zaouai A. 🟨,
- 87', Guevara J. ↓, Beliandjou R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bastia
43.2% | Draw
30.5% | Nancy
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Bastia - Nancy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.3) |
3.07 ↑
(3.02) |
3.56 ↑
(3.29) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Nancy?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Nancy will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 50.5% – 99.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Bastia: Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Beltaief Z.
(Inactive)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Meynadier T.
(Yellow Cards)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Roncaglia A.
(Red Card)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nancy: Bokangu B.
(Inactive)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Maouassa F.
(Injury)
Saint-Ruf N.
(Inactive)
Sidibe O.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bastia: Ducrocq T.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Nancy?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Bastia?
Nancy has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Nancy were as follows:
28.10.2025
Nancy
-
Bastia
2:0
29.11.2024
Bastia
-
Nancy
2:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
