Bayern Munich vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
09/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 8, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.28
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
234
Shots on target
90
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
93% (635/680)89% (377/422)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.160.28
xG on target (xGOT)
3.470.00
Total shots
234
Shots on target
90
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
511
Passes
93% (635/680)89% (377/422)
Long passes
77% (17/22)59% (22/37)
Passes in final third
90% (269/300)70% (32/46)
Crosses
33% (5/15)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.880.23
Throw-ins
208
Fouls
115
Tackles
52% (13/25)40% (4/10)
Duels won
4735
Clearances
524
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.003.47
Goals prevented
0.000.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Kimmich J. (Own goal), Simoes J. (A),
  • 65', 1 - 1, Gnabry S. , Olise M. (A),
  • 66', Alisson Santos , Mangas R. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Karl L. , Laimer K. (A),
  • 71', Kimmich J. 🟨,
  • 71', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
  • 76', Karl L. , Guerreiro R. ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Tah J. , Gnabry S. (A),
  • 80', Quaresma E. , Vagiannidis G. ,
  • 80', Catamo G. , Ioannidis F. ,
  • 88', Gnabry S. , Davies A. ,
  • 88', Pavlovic A. , Goretzka L. ,
  • 88', Stanisic J. , Ito H. ,
  • 90+1', Araujo M. , Blopa S. ,
  • 90+1', Simoes J. , Morita H. ,
  • 90+2', Kane H. , Jackson N. ,
  • 90+4', Laimer K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
78.6%
Draw
13.6%
Sporting Lisbon
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.2% 15.1% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.28)
    7.09
    (6.39)
    12.31
    (9.82)
    3.9%
    (4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Bayern will win (votes: 53 - 93%). Sporting will win (votes: 2 - 3.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 86.4%99.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Bayern (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Bayern (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Bayern (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Bayern (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Bayern (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Bayern (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75, 1st Half - Bayern (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Bayern (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 28 - 96.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bayern is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sporting is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Illness) Diaz L. (Red Card) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Debast Z. (Injury) Goncalves P. (Injury) Quenda G. (Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Trincao (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Catamo G. (Injury) Inacio G. (Injury) Vagiannidis G. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    06.12.2025 Stuttgart - Bayern Munich 0:5
    29.11.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:1
    26.11.2025 Arsenal - Bayern Munich 3:1
    22.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Freiburg 6:2
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2