Vélez Sársfield vs Belgrano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/10/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 19
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalySport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
1%1%
Goal Attempts
143
Shots on Goal
11
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
61
Free Kicks
00
Corner Kicks
60
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
Fouls
82
Yellow Cards
42
Total Passes
132103
Completed Passes
9456
Clearances Completed
615

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. , Compagnucci G. (A),
  • 12', Troilo M. 🟨,
  • 13', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 23', Compagnucci G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Quiros A. , Elias J. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Fernandez T. , Braian Romero (A),
  • 54', Fernandez N. , Quignon F. ,
  • 70', Gonzalez F. , Reyna B. ,
  • 70', Menossi L. , Baldi A. ,
  • 73', Mammana E. 🟨,
  • 80', Jara F. , Chavarria P. ,
  • 80', Meriano N. , Heredia G. ,
  • 86', Ordonez C. , Carrizo M. ,
  • 90', Pizzini F. , Bosch B. ,
  • 90', Garcia J. , Lagos A. ,
  • 90+3', Lagos A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Aquino C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
65.9%
Draw
22.3%
Belgrano
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 28.9% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 27.7% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield's performance.
  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.85)
    4.25
    (3.24)
    7.94
    (4.55)
    5.3%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vélez won 2.
    • Vélez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Vélez is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Santos M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Bustos L. (Injury) Daniele M. (Injury) Passerini L. (Injury) Sanchez U. (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Vélez won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:19 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vélez won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano were as follows:
    17.01.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Belgrano 1:0
    03.06.2023 Belgrano - Vélez Sársfield 2:0
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Latest results of Belgrano
    19.10.2024 Belgrano - Platense 0:1
    28.09.2024 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 2:0
    14.09.2024 Belgrano - Independiente 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)