Result
2:0 penalties
18/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
Croatia | Arena Sport |
Denmark | TV2 Sport X |
Finland | Viaplay |
Italy | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | ESPN |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport |
Sweden | Viaplay |
United-kingdom | TNT Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 690 | 561 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 586 | 454 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 168 | 124 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 68 | 63 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Antonio Silva 🟨,
- 45+2', Mbemba Ch. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mbemba Ch. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
- 59', Soglo E. ↓, Moumbagna F. ↑,
- 59', Ounahi A. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
- 60', Di Maria A. 🟨,
- 61', David Neres ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 61', Tengstedt C. ↓, Kokcu O. ↑,
- 75', Ndiaye I. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Moumbagna F. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
- 89', Harit A. 🟨,
- 89', Gigot S. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 100', Gigot S. ↓, Daou R. ↑,
- 102', Rafa Silva ↓, Cabral A. ↑,
- 110', Kokcu O. 🟨,
- 110', Harit A. ↓, Lafont G. ↑,
- 114', Florentino 🟨,
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
- 1, Correa J. (Pen),
- 2, Kokcu O. (Pen),
- 2, Kondogbia G. (Pen),
- 3, Otamendi N. (Pen),
- 3, Balerdi L. (Pen),
- 4, Antonio Silva (Pen),
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille 39.9% | Draw 26.8% | Benfica 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)The chances for Benfica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Olympique Marseille - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 (2.42) |
3.6 ↓ (3.78) |
2.89 ↓ (2.96) |
3.8% (1.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
76 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 55 - 72.4%). Benfica will win (votes: 13 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 62.3% – 82.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
- Marseille has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Marseille have a series of guest games.
- Recently Benfica have a series of home games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Marseille: Clauss J.
(Muscle Injury)
Merlin Q.
(Ankle Injury)
Nadir B.
(Knee Injury)
Ngapandouetnbu S.
(Injury)
Onana J.
(Muscle Injury)
Rongier V.
(Knee Injury)
Ruiz P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T.
(Ankle Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 2.94.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Marseille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Benfica?
Olympique Marseille has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Olympique Marseille?
Benfica has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Benfica were as follows:
11.04.2024
Benfica
-
Olympique Marseille
2:1
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
Latest results of Benfica
UEFA Europa League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Braga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | D. Zagreb | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Plzen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Ferencvaros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Fenerbahce | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Porto | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Betis | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | PAOK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 21 | Celtic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 22 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 24 | Basel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 | Ludogorets | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 27 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | FCSB | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 29 | Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 30 | Crvena zvezda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Malmo FF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 33 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Salzburg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)