Olympique Marseille vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Olympique Marseille - Benfica
Result
2:0 penalties
18/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
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italyItalySky Sport
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portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.16
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
2111
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
113
Blocked Shots
53
Free Kicks
2016
Corner Kicks
86
Offsides
23
Goalkeeper Saves
54
Fouls
1518
Yellow Cards
34
Total Passes
690561
Completed Passes
586454
Tackles
915
Attacks
168124
Dangerous Attacks
6863
Crosses Completed
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Antonio Silva 🟨,
  • 45+2', Mbemba Ch. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mbemba Ch. , Murillo M. ,
  • 59', Soglo E. , Moumbagna F. ,
  • 59', Ounahi A. , Luis Henrique ,
  • 60', Di Maria A. 🟨,
  • 61', David Neres , Joao Mario ,
  • 61', Tengstedt C. , Kokcu O. ,
  • 75', Ndiaye I. , Correa J. ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Moumbagna F. , Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 89', Harit A. 🟨,
  • 89', Gigot S. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 100', Gigot S. , Daou R. ,
  • 102', Rafa Silva , Cabral A. ,
  • 110', Kokcu O. 🟨,
  • 110', Harit A. , Lafont G. ,
  • 114', Florentino 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
  • 1, Correa J. (Pen),
  • 2, Kokcu O. (Pen),
  • 2, Kondogbia G. (Pen),
  • 3, Otamendi N. (Pen),
  • 3, Balerdi L. (Pen),
  • 4, Antonio Silva (Pen),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
39.9%
Draw
26.8%
Benfica
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 26% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 27.1% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • The chances for Benfica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Olympique Marseille - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.42)
    3.6
    (3.78)
    2.89
    (2.96)
    3.8%
    (1.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 55 - 72.4%). Benfica will win (votes: 13 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 62.3%82.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Marseille has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Marseille have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Benfica have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Clauss J. (Muscle Injury) Merlin Q. (Ankle Injury) Nadir B. (Knee Injury) Ngapandouetnbu S. (Injury) Onana J. (Muscle Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T. (Ankle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 2.94.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Marseille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Benfica were as follows:
    11.04.2024 Benfica - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Benfica
    14.04.2024 Benfica - Moreirense 3:0
    06.04.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 2:1
    02.04.2024 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 2:2
    29.03.2024 Benfica - Chaves 1:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    17ServetteBye
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    24ByeBrann
    25PanathinaikosBye
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    32ByeNoah
    33RijekaBye
    36ByeShelbourne
    37RFSBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    44ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    45ZrinjskiBye
    48ByeBreidablik
    49FCSBBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9ServetteBye
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    12ByeBrann
    13PanathinaikosBye
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    16ByeNoah
    17RijekaBye
    18ByeShelbourne
    19RFSBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23ZrinjskiBye
    24ByeBreidablik
    25FCSBBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadMidtjylland
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3AEK LarnacaLegia
    4CFR ClujBraga
    5ServetteUtrecht
    6HackenBrann
    7PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    8Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    9RijekaShelbourne
    10RFSKuPS
    11HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ZrinjskiBreidablik
    13FCSBDrita