Olympique Marseille vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Olympique Marseille - Benfica
Result
2:0 penalties
18/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandViaplay
italyItalySky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.971.16
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
2111
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
113
Blocked Shots
53
Free Kicks
2016
Corner Kicks
86
Offsides
23
Goalkeeper Saves
54
Fouls
1518
Yellow Cards
34
Total Passes
690561
Completed Passes
586454
Tackles
915
Attacks
168124
Dangerous Attacks
6863
Crosses Completed
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Antonio Silva 🟨,
  • 45+2', Mbemba Ch. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mbemba Ch. , Murillo M. ,
  • 59', Soglo E. , Moumbagna F. ,
  • 59', Ounahi A. , Luis Henrique ,
  • 60', Di Maria A. 🟨,
  • 61', David Neres , Joao Mario ,
  • 61', Tengstedt C. , Kokcu O. ,
  • 75', Ndiaye I. , Correa J. ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Moumbagna F. , Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 89', Harit A. 🟨,
  • 89', Gigot S. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 100', Gigot S. , Daou R. ,
  • 102', Rafa Silva , Cabral A. ,
  • 110', Kokcu O. 🟨,
  • 110', Harit A. , Lafont G. ,
  • 114', Florentino 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
  • 1, Correa J. (Pen),
  • 2, Kokcu O. (Pen),
  • 2, Kondogbia G. (Pen),
  • 3, Otamendi N. (Pen),
  • 3, Balerdi L. (Pen),
  • 4, Antonio Silva (Pen),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
39.9%
Draw
26.8%
Benfica
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 26% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 27.1% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • The chances for Benfica have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Olympique Marseille - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.42)
    3.6
    (3.78)
    2.89
    (2.96)
    3.8%
    (1.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 55 - 72.4%). Benfica will win (votes: 13 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 62.3%82.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Marseille has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Marseille have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Benfica have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Clauss J. (Muscle Injury) Merlin Q. (Ankle Injury) Nadir B. (Knee Injury) Ngapandouetnbu S. (Injury) Onana J. (Muscle Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T. (Ankle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 2.94.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Marseille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Benfica were as follows:
    11.04.2024 Benfica - Olympique Marseille 2:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Benfica
    14.04.2024 Benfica - Moreirense 3:0
    06.04.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 2:1
    02.04.2024 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 2:2
    29.03.2024 Benfica - Chaves 1:0
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Midtjylland33008:269
    2Braga33005:059
    3Lyon33005:059
    4D. Zagreb32107:347
    5Plzen32106:247
    6Freiburg32105:237
    7Ferencvaros32105:327
    8Brann32015:236
    9Celta Vigo32016:426
    10Aston Villa32014:226
    11Lille32016:516
    12G.A. Eagles32014:316
    13Young Boys32016:606
    14Fenerbahce32014:406
    15FC Porto32013:306
    16Betis31204:225
    17Nottingham31116:514
    18Bologna31113:304
    19Genk31111:104
    20PAOK31115:6-14
    21Celtic31113:4-14
    22Panathinaikos31026:603
    23AS Roma31023:4-13
    24Basel31023:4-13
    25Feyenoord31023:4-13
    26Ludogorets31024:6-23
    27Sturm Graz31023:5-23
    28FCSB31022:4-23
    29Stuttgart31022:4-23
    30Crvena zvezda30122:5-31
    31Malmo FF30122:6-41
    32Maccabi Tel Aviv30121:6-51
    33Nice30033:6-30
    34Salzburg30032:6-40
    35Utrecht30030:4-40
    36Rangers30031:6-50

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