Result
1:2
23/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Round 1
- Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Turkey | A Spor, ATV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Cerny V. ⚽, Abraham T. (A),
- 36', Aydin O. 🟨,
- 39', Sahin D. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Asensio M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', Abraham T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Elmaz B. 🟨,
- 71', Sahin D. ↓, Kayra Yilmaz K. ↑,
- 71', Jurasek D. ↓, Yilmaz R. ↑,
- 74', Elmaz B. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,
- 84', Ucan S. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
- 84', Topcu E. ↓, Gabriel Paulista ↑,
- 85', Aydin O. ↓, Karatas H. ↑,
- 89', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Ekici A. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Cerny V. ⚽, Abraham T. (A),
Chances of winning
Fenerbahçe
45.4% | Draw
25.3% | Beşiktaş
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.66) |
3.7 ↓
(3.75) |
3.15 ↓
(4.57) |
7.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 18.5% – 61.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Beşiktaş (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Beşiktaş may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Fenerbahçe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Beşiktaş?
Fenerbahçe has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beşiktaş won against Fenerbahçe?
Beşiktaş has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş were as follows:
02.11.2025
Beşiktaş
-
Fenerbahçe
2:3
04.05.2025
Fenerbahçe
-
Beşiktaş
0:1
07.12.2024
Beşiktaş
-
Fenerbahçe
1:0
27.04.2024
Fenerbahçe
-
Beşiktaş
2:1
09.12.2023
Beşiktaş
-
Fenerbahçe
1:3
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Latest results of Beşiktaş
Turkish Cup Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | -11 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
Ranking of third-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )
