Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş
Result
0:1
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 34
  • Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
hungaryHungarySport 2
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports, Disney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.69
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
83% (388/466)75% (225/301)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.591.90
Total shots
178
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3515
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
2012
Passes
83% (388/466)75% (225/301)
Long passes
54% (31/57)30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
72% (121/169)51% (39/77)
Crosses
13% (5/38)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.45
Throw-ins
1911
Fouls
1220
Tackles
67% (10/15)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5749
Clearances
1949
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.900.59
Goals prevented
0.410.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', Fernandes G. (Pen),
  • 37', Soyuncu C. 🟨,
  • 38', Mourinho J. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Fernandes G. ,
  • 45+2', Hekimoglu M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Skriniar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Szymanski S. , Tadic D. ,
  • 58', Soyuncu C. , Dzeko E. ,
  • 59', Osayi-Samuel B. , Djiku A. ,
  • 62', Terzi E. , Uduokhai F. ,
  • 67', Hekimoglu M. , Joao Mario ,
  • 70', En Nesyri Y. , Kahveci I. C. ,
  • 72', Uduokhai F. 🟨,
  • 79', Gunok M. 🟨,
  • 84', Fred , Tosun C. ,
  • 87', Djiku A. 🟨,
  • 90', Hadziahmetovic A. , Bulut O. ,
  • 90', Rashica M. , Immobile C. ,
  • 90+3', Masuaku A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
62.1%
Draw
20.5%
Beşiktaş
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 22% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 21.8% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fenerbahçe's performance.
  • Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beşiktaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fenerbahçe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beşiktaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.84)
    4.63
    (4.33)
    5.48
    (3.66)
    5.8%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 58%94.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 2.
    • Fenerbahçe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Beşiktaş has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Amrabat S. (Injury) Kostic F. (Yellow Cards) Muldur M. (Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Yandas M. (Knock)
    • There will not play in Beşiktaş: Muci E. (Injury) Ricardo E. (Muscle Injury) Uduokhai F. (Ankle Injury) Uysal N. (Knee Injury) Zaynutdinov B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Topcu E. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe 1:0
    27.04.2024 Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş 2:1
    09.12.2023 Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    02.04.2023 Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş 2:4
    02.10.2022 Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe 0:0
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    26.04.2025 Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    20.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor 3:3
    13.04.2025 Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe 1:3
    06.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor 4:1
    02.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray 1:2
    Latest results of Beşiktaş
    25.04.2025 Beşiktaş - Hatayspor 5:1
    19.04.2025 Göztepe - Beşiktaş 1:1
    07.04.2025 Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş 1:1
    03.04.2025 Beşiktaş - Göztepe 1:3
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goztepe32105:057
    2Konyaspor22007:166
    3Galatasaray22006:066
    4Antalyaspor22003:126
    5Samsunspor22003:126
    6Trabzonspor22002:026
    7Besiktas11002:113
    8Kayserispor10101:101
    9Basaksehir10101:101
    10Alanyaspor10100:001
    11Fenerbahce10100:001
    12Rizespor20110:3-31
    13Genclerbirligi20021:3-20
    14Kasimpasa20021:3-20
    15Kocaelispor20020:2-20
    16Eyupspor20022:6-40
    17Karagumruk20020:5-50
    18Gaziantep20020:6-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig