Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 24
- Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Vidio |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/424) | 80% (334/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/424) | 80% (334/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (28/61) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (40/80) | 60% (48/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 1, Agbadou E. ⚽, Cerny V. (A),
- 61', Bingol T. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
- 61', Linetty K. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
- 72', Under C. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
- 81', Yilmaz R. 🟨,
- 81', Oguz A. 🟨,
- 81', Asllani K. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
- 82', Cerny V. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
- 83', Hekimoglu M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Show ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
- 90+2', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
Chances of winning
Kocaelispor
26.7% | Draw
28.5% | Beşiktaş
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(3.18) |
3.3 ↓
(3.61) |
2.12 ↓
(2.14) |
5.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Beşiktaş (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Beşiktaş will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beşiktaş will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Kocaelispor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Beşiktaş is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Beşiktaş may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Beşiktaş could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Haidara M.
(Yellow Cards)
Jovanovic A.
(Injury)
Susoho M.
(Injury)
Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Beşiktaş: Kokcu O.
(Yellow Cards)
Toure E. B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Bulut T.
(Injury)
Topcu E.
(Injury)
Uysal N.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1:3.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Beşiktaş?
Kocaelispor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beşiktaş won against Kocaelispor?
Beşiktaş has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş were as follows:
05.02.2026
Kocaelispor
-
Beşiktaş
1:1
29.09.2025
Beşiktaş
-
Kocaelispor
3:1
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Latest results of Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
