Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (192/298) | 86% (423/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 19 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (192/298) | 86% (423/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (22/66) | 58% (32/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (33/76) | 74% (98/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 42% (11/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Volkovs K. 🟨,
- 10', Mihalcovs G. ↓, Saidy M. ↑,
- 22', Anmanis 🟨,
- 22', Kone M. 🟨,
- 29', Kurokawa A. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
- 31', Nagasawa M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Nagasawa M. ↓, Kholod A. ↑,
- 69', Kone M. ↓, Kumater S. ↑,
- 74', Samoilovs B. ↓, Putrans D. ↑,
- 74', Derkach M. ↓, Joksts H. ↑,
- 83', Cucurs D. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 83', Fofana W. ↓, Promise V. ↑,
- 83', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 1, Minins J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Tukums 2000
31% | Draw
26.5% | BFC Daugavpils
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tukums 2000's form might have worsened.BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BFC Daugavpils's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tukums 2000, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BFC Daugavpils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.5) |
3.45 ↓
(3.49) |
2.15 ↓
(2.56) |
9.4%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Daugavpils (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 1.
- Recent performances by Tukums 2000 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Daugavpils is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Daugavpils could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against BFC Daugavpils?
Tukums 2000 has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Tukums 2000?
BFC Daugavpils has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
21.06.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Tukums 2000
1:2
30.04.2025
Tukums 2000
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
07.03.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Tukums 2000
3:0
21.09.2024
Tukums 2000
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
03.07.2024
Tukums 2000
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:2
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 67:19 | 48 | 70 |
| 2 | RFS | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 71:25 | 46 | 67 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 47 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 43:47 | -4 | 40 |
| 5 | Auda | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 35:31 | 4 | 40 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 29 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33:43 | -10 | 26 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 25 |
| 9 | Grobina | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 23 |
| 10 | Metta | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 26:58 | -32 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
