Result
1:2
21/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/454) | 64% (147/228) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/454) | 64% (147/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (35/59) | 28% (16/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (111/161) | 61% (50/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 40% (2/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
- 29', Anmanis 🟨,
- 36', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Reingolcs R. ⚽, Anmanis (A),
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Pulis I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lizunovs V. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
- 46', Murakami S. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
- 46', Mihalcovs G. ↓, Ivanovs E. ↑,
- 46', Barkovskis N. ↓, Diakite T. ↑,
- 57', Kirss R. ↓, Rogovs D. ↑,
- 68', Taty C. 🟨,
- 75', Dusalijevs N. ↓, Sirbu D. ↑,
- 84', Fofana W. ↓, Galajs A. ↑,
- 85', Joksts H. ↓, Bekima B. ↑,
- 87', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
- 88', Reingolcs R. 🟨,
- 88', Kudelkins A. 🟨,
- 88', Rogovs D. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Skrebels R. ⚽, Kone M. (A),
- 90+4', Sturins R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kone M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
57.5% | Draw
23.3% | Tukums 2000
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFC Daugavpils's performance.Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-15.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BFC Daugavpils that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tukums 2000 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.74) |
3.93 ↑
(3.8) |
4.79 ↑
(3.84) |
9%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000?
Users Predictions:
BFC Daugavpils will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 3.
- Daugavpils has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tukums 2000 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Daugavpils has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Daugavpils is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:16. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Tukums 2000?
BFC Daugavpils has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tukums 2000 won against BFC Daugavpils?
Tukums 2000 has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 were as follows:
30.04.2025
Tukums 2000
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
07.03.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Tukums 2000
3:0
21.09.2024
Tukums 2000
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:0
03.07.2024
Tukums 2000
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:2
12.05.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Tukums 2000
4:1
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
