Birmingham City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Birmingham City - Oxford United
Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 3
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.44
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
88% (510/580)71% (213/300)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.04
Total shots
166
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
101
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
224
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
88% (510/580)71% (213/300)
Long passes
52% (23/44)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
76% (131/173)42% (25/60)
Crosses
23% (5/22)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.20
Throw-ins
3323
Fouls
1117
Tackles
52% (12/23)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
516
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.040.14
Goals prevented
0.04-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho , Laird E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Furuhashi K. , Doyle T. ,
  • 68', Goodrham T. , Placheta P. ,
  • 68', Lankshear W. , Harris M. ,
  • 76', De Keersmaecker B. , Vaulks W. ,
  • 76', ter Avest H. , Phillips M. ,
  • 85', Gray D. , Anderson K. ,
  • 86', Dembele S. , Mills S. ,
  • 88', Stansfield J. , Dykes L. ,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
63.7%
Draw
22.6%
Oxford United
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 21.7% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 21.3% 16.8%

Birmingham City - Oxford United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.49
(1.53)
4.16
(4.33)
6.98
(5.5)
5.7%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 64.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Birmingham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Oxford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Oxford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Oxford has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Knee Injury) Harris L. (Ankle Injury) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B. (Inactive) Placheta P. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry15104140:132734
    2Middlesbrough1585219:13629
    3Stoke1583421:101127
    4Preston1575320:14626
    5Hull1574426:24225
    6Millwall1574417:20-325
    7Ipswich1465326:161023
    8Bristol City1565422:18423
    9Charlton1565416:12423
    10Derby1565420:19123
    11Birmingham1563620:17321
    12Leicester1556418:16221
    13Wrexham1556420:19121
    14West Brom1563614:16-221
    15Watford1555519:18120
    16QPR1554617:23-619
    17Southampton1546518:21-318
    18Swansea1545615:19-417
    19Blackburn1451814:19-516
    20Portsmouth1535712:20-814
    21Oxford Utd1534816:22-613
    22Sheffield Utd15311111:26-1510
    23Norwich15231014:23-99
    24Sheffield Wed1515912:29-17-4

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