Oxford United vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kassam Stadium (Oxford).

Championship - Round 30
Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.46	0.80
Ball possession
39%	61%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
66% (224/341)	81% (430/532)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.46	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.56	0.46
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked shots
2	5
Shots inside the box
5	8
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
15	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free kicks
12	7
Passes
66% (224/341)	81% (430/532)
Long passes
30% (23/77)	39% (30/76)
Passes in final third
47% (48/103)	52% (53/102)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.89
Throw ins
25	23
Fouls
7	12
Tackles
83% (15/18)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
50	40
Clearances
18	20
Interceptions
12	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.46	0.56
Goals prevented
-0.54	0.56

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Spencer B. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Peart-Harris M. (Own goal),
41', McDonnell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', McDonnell J. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
55', Phillips M. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
55', Harris M. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
58', Stansfield J. 🟨,
59', Stansfield J. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
59', Roberts P. ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
61', Iwata T. 🟨,
65', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
65', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Ducksch M. ⚽, Vicente C. (A),
87', Ducksch M. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
87', Osman I. ↓, Wright S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Oxford United
26.6%

Draw
27.1%

Birmingham City
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.3%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28.2%

42.8%

Oxford United - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.26)	3.5 ↑ (3.36)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)	5.3% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Oxford United - Birmingham City?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Birmingham will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 15.2% – 64.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Birmingham (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 13).
In recent matches, Oxford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Birmingham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Birmingham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Oxford: Donley J. (Injury) Goodrham T. (Injury) Prelec N. (Groin Injury) ter Avest H. (Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Cochrane A. (Inactive) Gray D. (Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Robinson J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Oxford: Placheta P. (Calf Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Birmingham City?

Oxford United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Oxford United?

Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Birmingham City were as follows:

23.08.2025 Birmingham City - Oxford United 1:0

Latest results of Oxford United

24.01.2026 Leicester City - Oxford United 1:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers 0:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Oxford United - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

09.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United 1:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Ipswich Town - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

24.01.2026 Birmingham City - Stoke City 1:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City 0:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Swansea City - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Cambridge United - Birmingham City 2:3 ✺

04.01.2026 Birmingham City - Coventry City 3:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	32	12	7	13	34:29	5	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	31	10	9	12	30:38	-8	39
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One