Birmingham City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 3
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.44
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
88% (510/580)71% (213/300)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.04
Total shots
166
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
101
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
224
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
88% (510/580)71% (213/300)
Long passes
52% (23/44)34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
76% (131/173)42% (25/60)
Crosses
23% (5/22)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.20
Throw-ins
3323
Fouls
1117
Tackles
52% (12/23)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5550
Clearances
2632
Interceptions
516
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.040.14
Goals prevented
0.04-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho , Laird E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Furuhashi K. , Doyle T. ,
  • 68', Goodrham T. , Placheta P. ,
  • 68', Lankshear W. , Harris M. ,
  • 76', De Keersmaecker B. , Vaulks W. ,
  • 76', ter Avest H. , Phillips M. ,
  • 85', Gray D. , Anderson K. ,
  • 86', Dembele S. , Mills S. ,
  • 88', Stansfield J. , Dykes L. ,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
63.7%
Draw
22.6%
Oxford United
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.3% 21.7% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 21.3% 16.8%

Birmingham City - Oxford United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.49
(1.53)
4.16
(4.33)
6.98
(5.5)
5.7%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 64.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Birmingham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Oxford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Oxford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Oxford has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Knee Injury) Harris L. (Ankle Injury) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B. (Inactive) Placheta P. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry28177461:313058
    2Middlesbrough28157642:291352
    3Ipswich27148547:242350
    4Hull27145845:39647
    5Millwall28137832:35-346
    6Preston281110736:29743
    7Watford27119738:32642
    8Stoke281251133:25841
    9Wrexham281011740:35541
    10Derby28118938:36241
    11Bristol City281171038:31740
    12QPR281171038:39-140
    13Birmingham281081038:37138
    14Leicester281081039:41-238
    15Southampton28991040:40036
    16Swansea281061231:35-436
    17Sheffield Utd271021536:40-432
    18Charlton27881127:34-732
    19West Brom28941531:43-1231
    20Norwich28861435:40-530
    21Portsmouth26781123:36-1329
    22Blackburn27771325:36-1128
    23Oxford Utd27591325:35-1024
    24Sheffield Wed27181818:54-36-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One