Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 3
- Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (510/580) | 71% (213/300) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (510/580) | 71% (213/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (131/173) | 42% (25/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho ⚽, Laird E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Furuhashi K. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 68', Goodrham T. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
- 68', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 76', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 76', ter Avest H. ↓, Phillips M. ↑,
- 85', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 86', Dembele S. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
- 88', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
63.7% | Draw
22.6% | Oxford United
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Birmingham City - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.53) |
4.16 ↓
(4.33) |
6.98 ↑
(5.5) |
5.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 64.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Birmingham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oxford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Oxford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Oxford has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Ducksch M.
(Calf Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Knee Injury)
Harris L.
(Ankle Injury)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Inactive)
Placheta P.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Oxford United?
Birmingham City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Birmingham City?
Oxford United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Oxford United were as follows:
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 50:21 | 29 | 43 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 28:20 | 8 | 36 |
| 3 | Millwall | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 33:19 | 14 | 31 |
| 5 | Preston | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
| 6 | Stoke | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Birmingham | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:23 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Hull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 31:34 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | QPR | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Southampton | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 27 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Watford | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 27 |
| 14 | Leicester | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 27 |
| 15 | Derby | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 26 |
| 16 | West Brom | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 25 |
| 17 | Charlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 23 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 24:28 | -4 | 22 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 21 |
| 20 | Swansea | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 22 | Portsmouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 17 |
| 23 | Norwich | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 13 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14:36 | -22 | -10 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
