Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 3
- Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (510/580) | 71% (213/300) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (510/580) | 71% (213/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 34% (20/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (131/173) | 42% (25/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho ⚽, Laird E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Furuhashi K. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 68', Goodrham T. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
- 68', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 76', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 76', ter Avest H. ↓, Phillips M. ↑,
- 85', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 86', Dembele S. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
- 88', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
63.7% | Draw
22.6% | Oxford United
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Birmingham City - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.53) |
4.16 ↓
(4.33) |
6.98 ↑
(5.5) |
5.7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 64.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Birmingham is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oxford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Oxford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Oxford has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Ducksch M.
(Calf Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Knee Injury)
Harris L.
(Ankle Injury)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Inactive)
Placheta P.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Oxford United?
Birmingham City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Birmingham City?
Oxford United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Oxford United were as follows:
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
