Result
0:2
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 30
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (224/341) | 81% (430/532) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (224/341) | 81% (430/532) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (23/77) | 39% (30/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (48/103) | 52% (53/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Peart-Harris M. (Own goal),
- 41', McDonnell J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', McDonnell J. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
- 55', Phillips M. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
- 55', Harris M. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
- 58', Stansfield J. 🟨,
- 59', Stansfield J. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
- 59', Roberts P. ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
- 61', Iwata T. 🟨,
- 65', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
- 65', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Ducksch M. ⚽, Vicente C. (A),
- 87', Ducksch M. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 87', Osman I. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
26.6% | Draw
27.1% | Birmingham City
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Oxford United - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(3.26) |
3.5 ↑
(3.36) |
2.06 ↓
(2.23) |
5.3%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Birmingham will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 15.2% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Birmingham (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 13).
- In recent matches, Oxford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Birmingham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Birmingham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Oxford: Donley J.
(Injury)
Goodrham T.
(Injury)
Prelec N.
(Groin Injury)
ter Avest H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Cochrane A.
(Inactive)
Gray D.
(Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robinson J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Placheta P.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Birmingham City?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Oxford United?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Birmingham City were as follows:
23.08.2025
Birmingham City
-
Oxford United
1:0
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
