Wrexham vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:1
03/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 9
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 4
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3, SupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
74% (285/383)85% (465/550)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.741.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.28
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
84
Passes
74% (285/383)85% (465/550)
Long passes
45% (29/64)32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
63% (80/128)55% (54/99)
Crosses
33% (5/15)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.75
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
48
Tackles
56% (9/16)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
2627
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.281.67
Goals prevented
0.280.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Dobson G. ⚽, Cleworth M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
  • 65', Dykes L. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
  • 70', Sheaf B. ↓, James M. ↑,
  • 70', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
  • 70', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
  • 71', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
  • 81', Stansfield J. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
  • 84', Koumas L. 🟨,
  • 88', Hyam D. ↓, Scarr D. ↑,
  • 88', Longman R. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
  • 88', Kabore I. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
30.8%		Draw
30.7%		Birmingham City
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 27.7% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wrexham's form might have worsened.
  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wrexham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
    •

    Wrexham - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↑
    (2.6)    		 3.11 ↓
    (3.34)    		 2.49 ↓
    (2.59)    		 5.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 16.3% – 56.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 4 - 50%). Birmingham (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Wrexham (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Birmingham (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Wrexham (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Wrexham (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Birmingham (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
    • Recent performances by Wrexham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birmingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Inactive) Cacace L. (Knock) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Anderson K. (Injury) Ducksch M. (Injury) Laird E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Birmingham City were as follows:
    23.01.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    16.09.2024 Birmingham City - Wrexham 3:1
    Latest results of Wrexham
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Norwich City - Wrexham 2:3 ✺
    13.09.2025 Wrexham - Queens Park Rangers 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    30.09.2025 Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Coventry City - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Birmingham City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Stoke City - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺
    29.08.2025 Leicester City - Birmingham City 2:0 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry38238778:403877
    2Middlesbrough382010859:372270
    3Ipswich371911766:382868
    4Millwall382081052:43968
    5Hull381961359:56363
    6Southampton3816121061:481360
    7Wrexham3816121058:50860
    8Derby381691355:48757
    9Watford3814131150:46455
    10Birmingham3814111348:48053
    11Swansea381571644:46-252
    12Norwich381561751:46551
    13Stoke381491545:40551
    14Bristol City381491549:49051
    15Sheffield Utd381551853:52150
    16QPR381481649:60-1150
    17Preston3812131342:48-649
    18Charlton3812121436:45-948
    19Blackburn381191836:49-1342
    20Portsmouth3710101736:48-1240
    21West Brom3810101839:54-1540
    22Oxford Utd389121736:49-1339
    23Leicester3811111651:60-938
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 38192823:76-53-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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