Birmingham Legion vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
3:1
13/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.66
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
85% (362/425)89% (440/495)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.700.83
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1012
Through passes
100% (2/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
85% (362/425)89% (440/495)
Long passes
49% (24/49)73% (36/49)
Passes in final third
60% (46/77)75% (86/115)
Crosses
14% (1/7)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.72
Fouls
1313
Tackles
58% (7/12)76% (13/17)
Duels won
3841
Clearances Total
1817
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.832.70
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Cabrera A. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Damus R. ⚽, Turnbull S. (A),
  • 45+2', Pasher T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pasher T. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
  • 46', Turnbull S. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Damus R. (Pen),
  • 63', Trejo D. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
  • 90+1', Preston T. ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
  • 90+1', Moreno A. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
  • 90+1', Cabrera A. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, McCartney D. ⚽,
  • 90+7', Calvillo E. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
45.7%		Draw
25.6%		El Paso Locomotive
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.6% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 27.4% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
    •

    Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.03 ↓
    (2.22)    		 3.62 ↑
    (3.35)    		 3.23 ↑
    (3)    		 8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and USL Championship with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
    •
    What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - El Paso (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Birmingham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • El Paso is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • El Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    01.06.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Birmingham Legion 1:3
    20.05.2023 Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive 1:2
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    29.03.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Birmingham Legion 2:0
    22.03.2025 Detroit City - Birmingham Legion 2:2
    19.03.2025 Little Rock Rangers - Birmingham Legion 1:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United 1:3
    26.10.2024 Oakland Roots - Birmingham Legion 0:5
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    05.04.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Lexington 2:1
    02.04.2025 Ventura County - El Paso Locomotive 0:3
    29.03.2025 Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive 1:2
    22.03.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 1:0
    19.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Harpos 5:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston00000:000
    2Tampa Bay00000:000
    3Pittsburgh00000:000
    4Indy Eleven00000:000
    5Detroit00000:000
    6Louisville City00000:000
    7Miami FC00000:000
    8Hartford Athletic00000:000
    9Birmingham00000:000
    10Loudoun00000:000
    11Rhode Island00000:000
    12Sporting Jax00000:000
    13Brooklyn00000:000


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC00000:000
    2New Mexico00000:000
    3Sacramento Republic00000:000
    4FC Tulsa00000:000
    5Colorado Springs00000:000
    6San Antonio00000:000
    7Phoenix Rising00000:000
    8Oakland Roots00000:000
    9Monterey Bay00000:000
    10Las Vegas Lights00000:000
    11El Paso00000:000
    12Lexington00000:000

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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