Birmingham Legion vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL).

USL Championship
Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	0.66
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
85% (362/425)	89% (440/495)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76	0.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.70	0.83
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
6	8
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
10	12
Through passes
100% (2/2)	100% (1/1)
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
85% (362/425)	89% (440/495)
Long passes
49% (24/49)	73% (36/49)
Passes in final third
60% (46/77)	75% (86/115)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.72
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
58% (7/12)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
38	41
Clearances Total
18	17
Interceptions
4	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.83	2.70
Goals prevented
-0.17	-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Cabrera A. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Damus R. ⚽, Turnbull S. (A),
45+2', Pasher T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pasher T. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
46', Turnbull S. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Damus R. (Pen),
63', Trejo D. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
90+1', Preston T. ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
90+1', Moreno A. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
90+1', Cabrera A. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, McCartney D. ⚽,
90+7', Calvillo E. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Birmingham Legion
45.7%

Draw
25.6%

El Paso Locomotive
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.22)	3.62 ↑ (3.35)	3.23 ↑ (3)	8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

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Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Birmingham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
El Paso is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
El Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against El Paso Locomotive?

Birmingham Legion has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Birmingham Legion?

El Paso Locomotive has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:

01.06.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Birmingham Legion 1:3

20.05.2023 Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive 1:2

Latest results of Birmingham Legion

29.03.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Birmingham Legion 2:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Detroit City - Birmingham Legion 2:2 ✺

19.03.2025 Little Rock Rangers - Birmingham Legion 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United 1:3 ✺

26.10.2024 Oakland Roots - Birmingham Legion 0:5 ✺

Latest results of El Paso Locomotive

05.04.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Lexington 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Ventura County - El Paso Locomotive 0:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 1:0 ✺

19.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Harpos 5:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
9	Rhode Island	26	8	7	11	20:26	-6	31
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	26	6	7	13	19:43	-24	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )