Birmingham Legion vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
13/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.66
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
85% (362/425)89% (440/495)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.700.83
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1012
Through passes
100% (2/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
85% (362/425)89% (440/495)
Long passes
49% (24/49)73% (36/49)
Passes in final third
60% (46/77)75% (86/115)
Crosses
14% (1/7)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.72
Fouls
1313
Tackles
58% (7/12)76% (13/17)
Duels won
3841
Clearances Total
1817
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.832.70
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Cabrera A. , Moreno A. (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Damus R. , Turnbull S. (A),
  • 45+2', Pasher T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pasher T. , Preston T. ,
  • 46', Turnbull S. , Mensah M. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Damus R. (Pen),
  • 63', Trejo D. , Torres R. ,
  • 90+1', Preston T. , Suarez S. ,
  • 90+1', Moreno A. , Moshobane T. ,
  • 90+1', Cabrera A. , Carter D. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, McCartney D. ,
  • 90+7', Calvillo E. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
45.7%
Draw
25.6%
El Paso Locomotive
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.6% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 27.4% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.22)
    3.62
    (3.35)
    3.23
    (3)
    8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and USL Championship with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - El Paso (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Paso (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Birmingham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • El Paso is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • El Paso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
    01.06.2024 El Paso Locomotive - Birmingham Legion 1:3
    20.05.2023 Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive 1:2
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7FC Tulsa833211:9212
    8Colorado Springs723215:1329
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay80264:15-112

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)