Birmingham Legion vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic
Result
1:0
18/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.34
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
81% (305/375)80% (326/409)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.560.16
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1010
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
914
Passes
81% (305/375)80% (326/409)
Long passes
49% (33/68)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
63% (62/99)54% (38/71)
Crosses
25% (3/12)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.26
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
149
Tackles
82% (9/11)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3950
Clearances
2414
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.160.56
Goals prevented
0.16-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Mensah M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mensah M. , Tregarthen S. ,
  • 65', Cicerone R. , Parano C. ,
  • 65', Wanner D. , Amann T. ,
  • 72', Willey B. , Lopez R. ,
  • 73', Benitez M. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 76', Paterson AJ , Suarez S. ,
  • 76', Trejo D. , Centeno E. ,
  • 76', Damus R. , Martinez E. ,
  • 84', Laszo E. , Preston T. ,
  • 89', Spaulding R. , Edwards A. ,
  • 90', Edwards A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Tregarthen S. , Pasher T. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
35.2%
Draw
28.7%
Sacramento Republic
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 26.1% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.8% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.34)
    3.24
    (3.52)
    2.57
    (2.64)
    7.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 10).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of home games.
    • Sacramento Republic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Sacramento Republic - Birmingham Legion 0:0
    12.08.2023 Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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