Result
1:0
18/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/375) | 80% (326/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/375) | 80% (326/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/68) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/99) | 54% (38/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Mensah M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mensah M. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
- 65', Cicerone R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
- 65', Wanner D. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 72', Willey B. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 73', Benitez M. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 76', Paterson AJ ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
- 76', Trejo D. ↓, Centeno E. ↑,
- 76', Damus R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 84', Laszo E. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 89', Spaulding R. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 90', Edwards A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Tregarthen S. ⚽, Pasher T. (A),
Chances of winning
Birmingham Legion
35.2% | Draw
28.7% | Sacramento Republic
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.34) |
3.24 ↓
(3.52) |
2.57 ↓
(2.64) |
7.8%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 10).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of home games.
- Sacramento Republic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Sacramento Republic?
Birmingham Legion has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Birmingham Legion?
Sacramento Republic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
25.05.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Birmingham Legion
0:0
12.08.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Sacramento Republic
1:1
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
