Result
1:0
18/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.34 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
81% (305/375) | 80% (326/409) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.34 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.56 | 0.16 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
81% (305/375) | 80% (326/409) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (33/68) | 37% (19/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (62/99) | 54% (38/71) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (3/12) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 0.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.16 | 0.56 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.16 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Mensah M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mensah M. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
- 65', Cicerone R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
- 65', Wanner D. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 72', Willey B. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 73', Benitez M. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
- 76', Paterson AJ ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
- 76', Trejo D. ↓, Centeno E. ↑,
- 76', Damus R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 84', Laszo E. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 89', Spaulding R. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
- 90', Edwards A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Tregarthen S. ⚽, Pasher T. (A),
Chances of winning
Birmingham Legion 35.2% | Draw 28.7% | Sacramento Republic 36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.64 ↑ (2.34) |
3.24 ↓ (3.52) |
2.57 ↓ (2.64) |
7.8% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 10).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of home games.
- Sacramento Republic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Sacramento Republic?
Birmingham Legion has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Birmingham Legion?
Sacramento Republic has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
25.05.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Birmingham Legion
0:0
12.08.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Sacramento Republic
1:1
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )