Birmingham Legion vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic
Result
1:0
18/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.34
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
81% (305/375)80% (326/409)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.560.16
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1010
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
914
Passes
81% (305/375)80% (326/409)
Long passes
49% (33/68)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
63% (62/99)54% (38/71)
Crosses
25% (3/12)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.26
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
149
Tackles
82% (9/11)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3950
Clearances
2414
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.160.56
Goals prevented
0.16-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Mensah M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mensah M. , Tregarthen S. ,
  • 65', Cicerone R. , Parano C. ,
  • 65', Wanner D. , Amann T. ,
  • 72', Willey B. , Lopez R. ,
  • 73', Benitez M. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 76', Paterson AJ , Suarez S. ,
  • 76', Trejo D. , Centeno E. ,
  • 76', Damus R. , Martinez E. ,
  • 84', Laszo E. , Preston T. ,
  • 89', Spaulding R. , Edwards A. ,
  • 90', Edwards A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Tregarthen S. , Pasher T. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
35.2%
Draw
28.7%
Sacramento Republic
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 26.1% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 25.8% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.34)
    3.24
    (3.52)
    2.57
    (2.64)
    7.8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 10).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of home games.
    • Sacramento Republic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Sacramento Republic - Birmingham Legion 0:0
    12.08.2023 Birmingham Legion - Sacramento Republic 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    Latest results of Sacramento Republic
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

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