Result
1:1
06/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Kaleia M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (212/311) | 75% (272/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (212/311) | 75% (272/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (28/74) | 41% (34/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (70/140) | 58% (57/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Tregarthen S. 🟨,
- 24', Shashoua S. ↓, Vassell P. ↑,
- 32', Martinez E. 🟨,
- 45+5', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
- 45+9', Travis J. 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 0, Calheira T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Suarez S. 🟨,
- 58', Elmedkhar K. 🟨,
- 68', Webber J. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
- 68', Goldthorp E. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 72', Martinez E. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 83', McIllhatton S. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
- 83', Tregarthen S. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
- 84', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Rufe J. ⚽, McCartney D. (A),
- 90+1', Colli G. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 90+2', Batista L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tulsa
48.1% | Draw
25% | Birmingham Legion
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tulsa - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.73) |
3.7 ↓
(3.74) |
3.44 ↓
(4.2) |
8.1%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
- Tulsa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Birmingham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Birmingham Legion?
Tulsa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Tulsa?
Birmingham Legion has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
31.05.2025
Tulsa
-
Birmingham Legion
1:2
04.05.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Tulsa
2:2
23.08.2023
Tulsa
-
Birmingham Legion
1:3
17.03.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Tulsa
3:2
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
