Result
1:1
06/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Kaleia M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (212/311) | 75% (272/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (212/311) | 75% (272/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (28/74) | 41% (34/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (70/140) | 58% (57/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Tregarthen S. 🟨,
- 24', Shashoua S. ↓, Vassell P. ↑,
- 32', Martinez E. 🟨,
- 45+5', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
- 45+9', Travis J. 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 0, Calheira T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Suarez S. 🟨,
- 58', Elmedkhar K. 🟨,
- 68', Webber J. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
- 68', Goldthorp E. ↓, Lukic S. ↑,
- 72', Martinez E. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 83', McIllhatton S. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
- 83', Tregarthen S. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
- 84', Elmedkhar K. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Rufe J. ⚽, McCartney D. (A),
- 90+1', Colli G. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
- 90+2', Batista L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tulsa 48.1% | Draw 25% | Birmingham Legion 26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tulsa's form might have worsened.Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tulsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tulsa - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↑ (1.73) |
3.7 ↓ (3.74) |
3.44 ↓ (4.2) |
8.1% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 1.
- Tulsa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Birmingham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tulsa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tulsa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tulsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tulsa won against Birmingham Legion?
Tulsa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Tulsa?
Birmingham Legion has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tulsa - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
31.05.2025
Tulsa
-
Birmingham Legion
1:2
04.05.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Tulsa
2:2
23.08.2023
Tulsa
-
Birmingham Legion
1:3
17.03.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Tulsa
3:2
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Charleston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Detroit | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Brooklyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Loudoun | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oakland Roots | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | El Paso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Lexington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | New Mexico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)