Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 35
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/347) | 75% (264/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/347) | 75% (264/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (69/114) | 64% (70/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 52% (14/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', Szmodics S. 🟨,
- 36', Forshaw A. 🟨,
- 45', Travis L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Carter H. ⚽, Ribeiro Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Clark B. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Brereton Diaz B. ⚽, Murkin D. (A),
- 56', Forshaw A. ↓, Montgomery K. ↑,
- 58', Cashin E. 🟨,
- 60', Ribeiro Y. 🟨,
- 62', Morris C. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
- 69', Ribeiro Y. ↓, Pickering H. ↑,
- 69', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Jorgensen M. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Clarke M. ⚽,
- 79', Carter H. 🟨,
- 80', Carter H. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
- 80', Baradji M. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
- 80', Szmodics S. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Brewster R. ⚽, Murkin D. (A),
- 87', Murkin D. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
- 87', Clarke M. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
44.8% | Draw
28.4% | Blackburn Rovers
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Derby County - Blackburn Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.19) |
3.34 ↓
(3.41) |
3.57 ↑
(3.23) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Blackburn Rovers?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Blackburn will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 44.9% – 88.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Derby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Derby could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Langas S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Blackburn: Cantwell T.
(Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Leg Injury)
Litherland M.
(Injury)
Miller L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Pears A.
(Injury)
Tavares S.
(Knee Injury)
Wharton S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Banel J.
(Inactive)
Salvesen L.
(Inactive)
Thompson L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Blackburn: Hedges R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derby won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Blackburn Rovers?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Derby County?
Blackburn Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Blackburn Rovers were as follows:
08.11.2025
Blackburn Rovers
-
Derby County
1:2
08.03.2025
Derby County
-
Blackburn Rovers
2:1
09.08.2024
Blackburn Rovers
-
Derby County
4:2
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
