Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (261/329) | 82% (324/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (261/329) | 82% (324/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 47% (28/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 69% (72/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
- 33', Meza M. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
- 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Zeballos E. ⚽,
- 45+4', Acuna M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rivero L. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Zeballos E. (A),
- 52', Armani F. 🟨,
- 59', Castano K. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
- 59', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
- 63', Montiel G. 🟨,
- 70', Miguel Borja 🟨,
- 72', Galarza M. 🟨,
- 74', Carlos Palacios ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 78', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
- 79', Blanco L. 🟨,
- 85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
- 87', Paredes L. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
- 87', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Braida M. ↑,
- 90+6', Zeballos E. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
38.2% | Draw
33.5% | River Plate
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Boca Juniors - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.39) |
2.84 ↓
(2.86) |
3.31 ↓
(3.44) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 50%). River Plate (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
- Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- River Plate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Boca Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R.
(Inactive)
Cavani E.
(Muscle Injury)
Fabra F.
(Coach's decision)
Velasco A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G.
(Knee Injury)
Driussi S.
(Injury)
Montiel G.
(Knee Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in River Plate: Colidio F.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against River Plate?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Boca Juniors?
River Plate has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - River Plate were as follows:
27.04.2025
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
21.09.2024
Boca Juniors
-
River Plate
0:1
21.04.2024
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
2:3
25.02.2024
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
01.10.2023
Boca Juniors
-
River Plate
0:2
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Latest results of River Plate
Draw
Clausura - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Boca Juniors | Talleres Cordoba | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | Argentinos Jrs | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Racing Club | River Plate | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Lanus | Tigre | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Dep. Riestra | Barracas Central | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Union de Santa Fe | Gimnasia L.P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Central Cordoba | San Lorenzo | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Rosario Central | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Boca Juniors | Argentinos Jrs | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Racing Club | Tigre | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | Gimnasia L.P. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Boca Juniors | Racing Club | |
| 2 | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. | |
Final
