Boca Juniors vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV6
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.80
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
79% (261/329)82% (324/396)
Yellow Cards
37
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.80
xG on target (xGOT)
2.310.26
Total shots
119
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
199
Passes
79% (261/329)82% (324/396)
Long passes
36% (19/53)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
52% (29/56)69% (72/105)
Crosses
29% (5/17)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.82
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
919
Tackles
60% (6/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
2220
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.262.31
Goals prevented
0.260.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
  • 33', Meza M. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
  • 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Zeballos E. ⚽,
  • 45+4', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rivero L. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Zeballos E. (A),
  • 52', Armani F. 🟨,
  • 59', Castano K. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
  • 59', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
  • 63', Montiel G. 🟨,
  • 70', Miguel Borja 🟨,
  • 72', Galarza M. 🟨,
  • 74', Carlos Palacios ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
  • 78', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
  • 79', Blanco L. 🟨,
  • 85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 87', Paredes L. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
  • 87', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Braida M. ↑,
  • 90+6', Zeballos E. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
38.2%		Draw
33.5%		River Plate
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 33% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 33.5% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Boca Juniors - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.48 ↑
    (2.39)    		 2.84 ↓
    (2.86)    		 3.31 ↓
    (3.44)    		 5.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 3 - 37.5%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Boca Juniors (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 44.4%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • River Plate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Boca Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Inactive) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Fabra F. (Coach's decision) Velasco A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Driussi S. (Injury) Montiel G. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Colidio F. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - River Plate were as follows:
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1
    21.09.2024 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:1
    21.04.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:3
    25.02.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 1:1
    01.10.2023 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    02.11.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 1:2 ✺
    27.10.2025 Barracas Central - Boca Juniors 1:3 ✺
    18.10.2025 Boca Juniors - Belgrano 1:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys 5:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of River Plate
    02.11.2025 River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate 0:2 ✺
    12.10.2025 River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Rosario Central - River Plate 2:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano74309:4515
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5River Plate83238:8011
    6Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    7Banfield83149:9010
    8Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    9Barracas Central82336:7-19
    10Huracan72325:6-19
    11Racing Club72238:9-18
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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