River Plate vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Football Argentinian Liga Profesional River Plate - Boca Juniors
Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaAFA Play, ESPN Premium, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.38
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
80% (274/344)81% (340/421)
Yellow Cards
65
Expected Goals (xG)
2.111.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.222.33
Total shots
159
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
80% (274/344)81% (340/421)
Long passes
31% (11/35)36% (17/47)
Passes in final third
72% (93/129)60% (54/90)
Crosses
39% (7/18)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.03
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
1213
Tackles
52% (11/21)58% (15/26)
Duels won
5458
Clearances
2523
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
2.332.22
Goals prevented
1.330.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', Belmonte T. 🟨,
  • 19', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 23', Rojo M. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Mastantuono F. ⚽,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Driussi S. ⚽,
  • 45+1', Miguel Borja 🟨,
  • 45+1', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Montiel G. ↓, Bustos F. ↑,
  • 55', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Meza M. ↑,
  • 55', Meza M. 🟨,
  • 62', Advincula L. 🟨,
  • 67', Belmonte T. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
  • 67', Rojo M. ↓, Di Lollo L. ↑,
  • 72', Colidio F. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
  • 73', Perez E. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
  • 74', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
  • 75', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
  • 85', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 87', Blanco L. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Delgado M. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
  • 90+2', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Castano K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


River Plate
49.4%		Draw
29.3%		Boca Juniors
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 31.7% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 32.1% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
    •

    River Plate - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.93 ↓
    (2.27)    		 3.25 ↑
    (2.99)    		 4.35 ↑
    (3.56)    		 5.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for River Plate - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 8% – 64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Boca Juniors (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • River Plate is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3.
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Boca Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:1
    21.04.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:3
    25.02.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 1:1
    01.10.2023 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:2
    07.05.2023 River Plate - Boca Juniors 1:0
    Latest results of River Plate
    23.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - River Plate 2:2 ✺
    18.04.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate 0:3 ✺
    13.04.2025 River Plate - Talleres de Córdoba 1:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 River Plate - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    19.04.2025 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Boca Juniors - Barracas Central 1:0 ✺
    30.03.2025 Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors 2:0 ✺
    07.03.2025 Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors 0:3 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    2Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    3Barracas Central1044212:10216
    4Tigre1144310:8216
    5Estudiantes L.P1051411:11016
    6Huracan114436:8-216
    7Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    8Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    9Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    10Banfield114259:14-514
    11Belgrano1034310:8213
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys102449:12-310
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente90545:9-45

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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