Result
19/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
River Plate 43.5% | Draw 30.4% | Boca Juniors 26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
River Plate - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↑ (2.13) |
3.09 ↑ (2.95) |
3.58 ↑ (3.5) |
6.7% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2.
- River Plate has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Boca Juniors is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- River Plate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Boca Juniors?
River Plate has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against River Plate?
Boca Juniors has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Boca Juniors were as follows:
09.11.2025
Boca Juniors
-
River Plate
2:0
27.04.2025
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
21.09.2024
Boca Juniors
-
River Plate
0:1
21.04.2024
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
2:3
25.02.2024
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)