Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Argentina | AFA Play, ESPN Premium, TNT Sports |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-america | ESPN South |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (274/344) | 81% (340/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 2.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (274/344) | 81% (340/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 36% (17/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (93/129) | 60% (54/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 58% (15/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.33 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', Belmonte T. 🟨,
- 19', Costa A. 🟨,
- 23', Rojo M. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Mastantuono F. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
- 45', 2 - 1, Driussi S. ⚽,
- 45+1', Miguel Borja 🟨,
- 45+1', Acuna M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Montiel G. ↓, Bustos F. ↑,
- 55', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Meza M. ↑,
- 55', Meza M. 🟨,
- 62', Advincula L. 🟨,
- 67', Belmonte T. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 67', Rojo M. ↓, Di Lollo L. ↑,
- 72', Colidio F. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 73', Perez E. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 74', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
- 75', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
- 85', Battaglia R. 🟨,
- 87', Blanco L. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- 90+1', Delgado M. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
- 90+2', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Castano K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
River Plate 49.4% | Draw 29.3% | Boca Juniors 21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
River Plate - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (2.27) |
3.25 ↑ (2.99) |
4.35 ↑ (3.56) |
5.5% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for River Plate - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 8% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Boca Juniors (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- River Plate is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3.
- Recent matches River Plate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Boca Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match River Plate is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Boca Juniors?
River Plate has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against River Plate?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Boca Juniors were as follows:
21.09.2024
Boca Juniors
-
River Plate
0:1
21.04.2024
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
2:3
25.02.2024
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
01.10.2023
Boca Juniors
-
River Plate
0:2
07.05.2023
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)