Boca Juniors vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV6
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.80
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
79% (261/329)82% (324/396)
Yellow Cards
37
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.80
xG on target (xGOT)
2.310.26
Total shots
119
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
199
Passes
79% (261/329)82% (324/396)
Long passes
36% (19/53)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
52% (29/56)69% (72/105)
Crosses
29% (5/17)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.82
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
919
Tackles
60% (6/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
2220
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.262.31
Goals prevented
0.260.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
  • 33', Meza M. , Galarza M. ,
  • 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Zeballos E. ,
  • 45+4', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rivero L. , Quintero J. ,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Miguel Merentiel , Zeballos E. (A),
  • 52', Armani F. 🟨,
  • 59', Castano K. , Giuliano Galoppo ,
  • 59', Driussi S. , Miguel Borja ,
  • 63', Montiel G. 🟨,
  • 70', Miguel Borja 🟨,
  • 72', Galarza M. 🟨,
  • 74', Carlos Palacios , Herrera A. ,
  • 78', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
  • 79', Blanco L. 🟨,
  • 85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 87', Paredes L. , Belmonte T. ,
  • 87', Miguel Merentiel , Braida M. ,
  • 90+6', Zeballos E. , Zenon K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
38.2%
Draw
33.5%
River Plate
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 33% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 33.5% 27.9%

Boca Juniors - River Plate Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.48
(2.39)
2.84
(2.86)
3.31
(3.44)
5.8%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 50%). River Plate (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Boca Juniors (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 3 - 60%). River Plate (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • River Plate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Boca Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Inactive) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Fabra F. (Coach's decision) Velasco A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Driussi S. (Injury) Montiel G. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Colidio F. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - River Plate were as follows:
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1
    21.09.2024 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:1
    21.04.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:3
    25.02.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 1:1
    01.10.2023 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of River Plate
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newells Old Boys00000:000
    2Lanus00000:000
    3Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    4San Lorenzo00000:000
    5Independiente00000:000
    6Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    7Boca Juniors00000:000
    8Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    9Talleres Cordoba00000:000
    10Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    11Instituto00000:000
    12Platense00000:000
    13Dep. Riestra00000:000
    14Central Cordoba00000:000
    15Gimnasia Mendoza00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central00000:000
    2Tigre00000:000
    3Argentinos Jrs00000:000
    4Banfield00000:000
    5Gimnasia L.P00000:000
    6Racing Club00000:000
    7Huracan00000:000
    8River Plate00000:000
    9Belgrano00000:000
    10Aldosivi00000:000
    11Atl. Tucuman00000:000
    12Ind. Rivadavia00000:000
    13Sarmiento Junin00000:000
    14Barracas Central00000:000
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)