Result
2:1
27/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | AFA Play, ESPN Premium, TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (274/344) | 81% (340/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 2.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (274/344) | 81% (340/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 36% (17/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (93/129) | 60% (54/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 58% (15/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.33 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', Belmonte T. 🟨,
- 19', Costa A. 🟨,
- 23', Rojo M. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Mastantuono F. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
- 45', 2 - 1, Driussi S. ⚽,
- 45+1', Miguel Borja 🟨,
- 45+1', Acuna M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Montiel G. ↓, Bustos F. ↑,
- 55', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Meza M. ↑,
- 55', Meza M. 🟨,
- 62', Advincula L. 🟨,
- 67', Belmonte T. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 67', Rojo M. ↓, Di Lollo L. ↑,
- 72', Colidio F. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 73', Perez E. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 74', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
- 75', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
- 85', Battaglia R. 🟨,
- 87', Blanco L. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- 90+1', Delgado M. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
- 90+2', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Castano K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
River Plate
49.4% | Draw
29.3% | Boca Juniors
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
River Plate - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.27) |
3.25 ↑
(2.99) |
4.35 ↑
(3.56) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for River Plate - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 8% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Boca Juniors (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- River Plate is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 3.
- Recent matches River Plate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Boca Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match River Plate is a favorite.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Boca Juniors?
River Plate has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against River Plate?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Boca Juniors were as follows:
21.09.2024
Boca Juniors
-
River Plate
0:1
21.04.2024
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
2:3
25.02.2024
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
01.10.2023
Boca Juniors
-
River Plate
0:2
07.05.2023
River Plate
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
