Boca Juniors vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV6
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.80
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
79% (261/329)82% (324/396)
Yellow Cards
37
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.80
xG on target (xGOT)
2.310.26
Total shots
119
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
199
Passes
79% (261/329)82% (324/396)
Long passes
36% (19/53)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
52% (29/56)69% (72/105)
Crosses
29% (5/17)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.82
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
919
Tackles
60% (6/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
2220
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.262.31
Goals prevented
0.260.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
  • 33', Meza M. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
  • 38', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Zeballos E. ⚽,
  • 45+4', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rivero L. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Zeballos E. (A),
  • 52', Armani F. 🟨,
  • 59', Castano K. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
  • 59', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
  • 63', Montiel G. 🟨,
  • 70', Miguel Borja 🟨,
  • 72', Galarza M. 🟨,
  • 74', Carlos Palacios ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
  • 78', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
  • 79', Blanco L. 🟨,
  • 85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 87', Paredes L. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
  • 87', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Braida M. ↑,
  • 90+6', Zeballos E. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
38.2%		Draw
33.5%		River Plate
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 33% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 33.5% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Boca Juniors - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.48 ↑
    (2.39)    		 2.84 ↓
    (2.86)    		 3.31 ↓
    (3.44)    		 5.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 3 - 37.5%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Boca Juniors (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 44.4%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • River Plate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Boca Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Inactive) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Fabra F. (Coach's decision) Velasco A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Costantini G. (Knee Injury) Driussi S. (Injury) Montiel G. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in River Plate: Colidio F. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - River Plate were as follows:
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1
    21.09.2024 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:1
    21.04.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:3
    25.02.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 1:1
    01.10.2023 Boca Juniors - River Plate 0:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    02.11.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 1:2 ✺
    27.10.2025 Barracas Central - Boca Juniors 1:3 ✺
    18.10.2025 Boca Juniors - Belgrano 1:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys 5:0 ✺
    27.09.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of River Plate
    02.11.2025 River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate 0:2 ✺
    12.10.2025 River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín 0:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Rosario Central - River Plate 2:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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