Bohemians Dublin vs Dundalk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier Division - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomVirgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.681.38
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
57
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
39
Passes
76% (344/455)63% (193/307)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.681.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.14
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
109
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
713
Passes
76% (344/455)63% (193/307)
Long passes
39% (26/67)30% (26/86)
Passes in final third
72% (71/98)50% (60/119)
Crosses
30% (3/10)27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.431.06
Throw ins
2413
Fouls
137
Tackles
71% (12/17)72% (18/25)
Duels won
5557
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
1.140.84
Goals prevented
1.14-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Hickey P. , Strods M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Animasahun M. , Spaight S. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Chorazka K. (Own goal),
  • 60', Strods M. , McDonnell A. ,
  • 60', Myers Z. , Parsons C. ,
  • 65', Buckley K. 🟨,
  • 67', Groome H. , McDaid D. ,
  • 74', Mullen S. , Vaughan H. ,
  • 86', Whelan C. , Martin H. ,
  • 90+3', Vaughan H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bohemians Dublin
60.2%
Draw
23.6%
Dundalk
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 25.3% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 24.5% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bohemians Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bohemians Dublin's performance.
  • Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dundalk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bohemians Dublin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dundalk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.8)
    3.98
    (3.74)
    5.71
    (4.24)
    6.9%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk?
  • Users Predictions: Bohemians Dublin will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bohemians Dublin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 2.
    • Bohemians is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dundalk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Bohemians is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Bohemians: James-Taylor D. (Inactive) Rooney D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Dundalk: Dervin A. (Red Card) Garbett N. (Inactive) Gaxha L. (Knee Injury) Kearns C. (Inactive) Mulligan L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Dundalk: Leonard V. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Bohemians will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bohemians won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bohemians won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Dundalk - Bohemians Dublin 0:2
    26.07.2024 Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk 1:1
    26.04.2024 Dundalk - Bohemians Dublin 2:0
    15.04.2024 Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk 1:0
    27.10.2023 Dundalk - Bohemians Dublin 2:0
    Latest results of Bohemians Dublin
    Latest results of Dundalk
    16.03.2026 Dundalk - Sligo Rovers 1:0
    13.03.2026 Dundalk - Waterford 5:0
    06.03.2026 Galway United - Dundalk 2:2
    23.02.2026 Shamrock Rovers - Dundalk 1:1
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bohemians853011:3818
    2St. Patricks852114:5917
    3Shamrock Rovers843112:6615
    4Shelbourne834111:9213
    5Dundalk825113:11211
    6Derry City823311:1109
    7Drogheda82339:11-29
    8Galway82248:11-38
    9Sligo Rovers81163:12-94
    10Waterford80266:19-132

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1