Sporting Cristal vs Bolívar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores
Football Copa Libertadores Sporting Cristal - Bolívar
Result
2:1
07/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.42
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
62% (144/233)83% (401/483)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.720.01
Total shots
715
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
010
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1230
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
719
Passes
62% (144/233)83% (401/483)
Long passes
42% (30/72)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
46% (33/71)73% (105/144)
Crosses
13% (1/8)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.84
Throw-ins
1837
Fouls
197
Tackles
73% (19/26)63% (12/19)
Duels won
6077
Clearances
5320
Interceptions
206
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.011.72
Goals prevented
-0.99-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Gonzales C. (A),
  • 37', Pretell J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Velasquez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Castro M. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Pacheco F. (A),
  • 52', Gonzales C. 🟨,
  • 52', Torren M. 🟨,
  • 59', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
  • 59', Rocha Y. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
  • 62', Sagredo J. 🟨,
  • 69', Sosa L. ↓, Lora J. ↑,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Vaca R. ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
  • 76', Pacheco F. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
  • 76', Pretell J. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
  • 89', Chavez G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
46.3%		Draw
25.7%		Bolívar
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 25.9% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 27.8% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
    •

    Sporting Cristal - Bolívar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.03 ↓
    (2.07)    		 3.67 ↑
    (3.65)    		 3.4 ↑
    (3.32)    		 5.9%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Bolívar?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Bolívar will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 23.8% – 76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 50%). Bolívar (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sporting Cristal could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Iberico L. (Injury) Pretell J. (Inactive) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bolívar: Lampe C. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Cauteruccio M. (Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolívar: Bruno Savio (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Bolívar were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Bolívar - Sporting Cristal 3:0
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    28.04.2025 Sporting Cristal - Juan Pablo II College 3:2
    24.04.2025 Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal 2:2 ✺
    19.04.2025 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    13.04.2025 Sporting Cristal - Cusco 1:0
    09.04.2025 Bolívar - Sporting Cristal 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Bolívar
    04.05.2025 ABB - Bolívar 0:3 ✺
    01.05.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar 3:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Bolívar - Blooming 5:1 ✺
    24.04.2025 Bolívar - Palmeiras 2:3 ✺
    20.04.2025 Guabirá - Bolívar 2:4
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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