Bolton Wanderers vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton).

League One - Round 29
Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.32	0.34
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
6	0
Corner kicks
5	4
Passes
84% (418/495)	80% (288/361)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.32	0.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.77	0.55
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
12	5
Shots outside the box
1	6
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
6	0
Corner kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
21	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
11	7
Passes
84% (418/495)	80% (288/361)
Long passes
39% (24/62)	33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
71% (78/110)	62% (79/128)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.45	0.73
Throw ins
23	25
Fouls
7	11
Tackles
67% (12/18)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
51	44
Clearances
38	15
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.55	1.77
Goals prevented
-0.45	-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Dalby S. ⚽,
54', Christie C. 🟨,
61', Vancooten T. ↓, Hartridge A. ↑,
61', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
65', Christie C. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
66', Dalby S. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Armer J. ⚽,
71', Adom K. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
71', Armer J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
75', Dempsey K. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
76', Conway M. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
76', McAtee J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
80', Morley A. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
81', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
86', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bolton Wanderers
62.7%

Draw
22.3%

Burton Albion
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

20.6%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)	4.23 ↓ (4.28)	6.22 ↓ (6.8)	6.7% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Burton will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 69.5% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Burton (4.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Bolton (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Burton (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Burton has had a series of away games.
In this match, Bolton is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Bolton: Forss M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Hartridge A. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Burton Albion?

Bolton Wanderers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Bolton Wanderers?

Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion were as follows:

11.10.2025 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 3:0

08.03.2025 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:2

19.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1

01.01.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 1:0

26.08.2023 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:1

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

24.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient 2:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers 0:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Burton Albion

22.01.2026 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Burton Albion - Huddersfield Town 3:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Boreham Wood - Burton Albion 0:5 ✺

04.01.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion 3:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Reading - Burton Albion 2:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
7	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
8	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
9	Wycombe	34	13	11	10	49:36	13	50
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	31	12	8	11	53:53	0	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	33	11	8	14	38:39	-1	41
16	Mansfield	32	10	10	12	39:37	2	40
17	Burton	34	10	9	15	38:49	-11	39
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
23	Rotherham	33	9	7	17	33:47	-14	34
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two