Result
3:0
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 12
- Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (119/230) | 74% (326/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (119/230) | 74% (326/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (19/86) | 37% (33/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (62/135) | 52% (69/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 38% (10/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Beesley J. (Pen),
- 42', Cissoko I. 🟨,
- 45+2', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cissoko I. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Tavares F. ⚽,
- 66', Christie C. ↓, Dacres-Cogley J. ↑,
- 66', Dalby S. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
- 79', Tavares F. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
- 80', Morley A. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
- 80', Conway M. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 90+1', Williams D. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 0, Beesley J. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
- 90+8', Webster C. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
- 90+8', Beesley J. ↓, Williamson J. ↑,
- 90+9', Forss M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
25.2% | Draw
26% | Bolton Wanderers
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.93 ↓
(4.61) |
3.87 ↓
(3.9) |
2.17 ↑
(1.67) |
-2.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
- Burton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bolton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Burton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bolton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Forrester W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osei-Tutu J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Evans G.
(Ankle Injury)
Newall J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Dacres-Cogley J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Bolton Wanderers?
Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Burton Albion?
Bolton Wanderers has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
08.03.2025
Burton Albion
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:2
19.10.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Burton Albion
2:1
01.01.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Burton Albion
1:0
26.08.2023
Burton Albion
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
18.04.2023
Burton Albion
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
