Result
2:1
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 29
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (418/495) | 80% (288/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (418/495) | 80% (288/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/62) | 33% (17/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (78/110) | 62% (79/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, Dalby S. ⚽,
- 54', Christie C. 🟨,
- 61', Vancooten T. ↓, Hartridge A. ↑,
- 61', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
- 65', Christie C. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
- 66', Dalby S. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 1, Armer J. ⚽,
- 71', Adom K. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
- 71', Armer J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 75', Dempsey K. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 76', Conway M. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
- 76', McAtee J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 80', Morley A. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
- 81', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
- 86', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
62.7% | Draw
22.3% | Burton Albion
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.41) |
4.23 ↓
(4.28) |
6.22 ↓
(6.8) |
6.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Burton will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 69.5% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Burton (4.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Bolton (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bolton Wanderers will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolton (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Burton (votes: 2 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Burton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bolton is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Forss M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Hartridge A.
(Inactive)
Webster C.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Burton Albion?
Bolton Wanderers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Bolton Wanderers?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion were as follows:
11.10.2025
Burton Albion
-
Bolton Wanderers
3:0
08.03.2025
Burton Albion
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:2
19.10.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Burton Albion
2:1
01.01.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Burton Albion
1:0
26.08.2023
Burton Albion
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
