Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers
Result
1:2
08/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 36
  • Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.160.62
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
139
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
65
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
86
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Free Kicks
1013
Offsides
23
Fouls
1310
Yellow Cards
42
Throw-ins
1321
Touches in the Opposition Box
2019
Passes
69% (209/301)80% (371/465)
Passes in the final third
50% (55/111)60% (58/96)
Crosses
39% (11/28)13% (2/16)
Tackles
76% (16/21)71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
1434
Interceptions
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Morley A. , Thomason G. (A),
  • 29', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 42', Armer J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', Sheehan J. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Sweeney R. ,
  • 59', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Sheehan J. ,
  • 68', Osei-Tutu J. , Schon S. ,
  • 68', McAtee J. , Randall J. ,
  • 76', Murphy A. 🟨,
  • 79', Bennett M. 🟨,
  • 83', Bennett M. , Stretton J. ,
  • 84', Burrell R. , Chauke K. ,
  • 89', Collins A. , Lolos K. ,
  • 89', Dacres-Cogley J. , Forino-Joseph C. ,
  • 90+2', McKiernan J. J. , Kalinauskas T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
24.5%
Draw
27.4%
Bolton Wanderers
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 26.9% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 26% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.
  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.86
    (3.1)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    1.97
    (2.21)
    5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Bolton will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 0.
    • Recent matches Burton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bolton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Burton have a series of guest games.
    • Bolton will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Inactive) Gilligan C. (Inactive) Sraha J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Inactive) Dempsey K. (Inactive) Etete K. (Inactive) Santos R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Jones G. (Inactive)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Burton won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:13 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1
    01.01.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 1:0
    26.08.2023 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    18.04.2023 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    25.10.2022 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Luton11001:013
    2Stockport County00000:000
    3Bolton00000:000
    4Reading00000:000
    5Wigan00000:000
    6Barnsley00000:000
    7Blackpool00000:000
    8Cardiff00000:000
    9Plymouth00000:000
    10Doncaster00000:000
    11Huddersfield00000:000
    12Leyton Orient00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two