Burton Albion vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent).

League One - Round 12
Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.54	1.79
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
12	18
Shots on target
6	7
Big Chances
5	5
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
52% (119/230)	74% (326/438)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54	1.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.66	0.92
Total shots
12	18
Shots on target
6	7
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
1	7
Shots inside the Box
11	14
Shots outside the Box
1	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	5
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
21	42
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
52% (119/230)	74% (326/438)
Long passes
22% (19/86)	37% (33/89)
Passes in final third
46% (62/135)	52% (69/132)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	38% (10/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	1.04
Throw-ins
31	31
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
65% (13/20)	67% (4/6)
Duels won
55	64
Clearances
37	54
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
0.92	2.66
Goals prevented
0.92	-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Beesley J. (Pen),
42', Cissoko I. 🟨,
45+2', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cissoko I. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Tavares F. ⚽,
66', Christie C. ↓, Dacres-Cogley J. ↑,
66', Dalby S. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
79', Tavares F. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
80', Morley A. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
80', Conway M. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
90+1', Williams D. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Beesley J. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
90+8', Webster C. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
90+8', Beesley J. ↓, Williamson J. ↑,
90+9', Forss M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Burton Albion
25.2%

Draw
26%

Bolton Wanderers
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

23.9%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

23%

58.2%

Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (4.61)	3.87 ↓ (3.9)	2.17 ↑ (1.67)	-2.6% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
Burton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bolton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Burton has had a series of away games.
In this match, Bolton is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J. (Ankle Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Vancooten T. (Leg Injury)
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Hamstring Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Evans G. (Ankle Injury) Newall J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bolton: Dacres-Cogley J. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Bolton Wanderers?

Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Burton Albion?

Bolton Wanderers has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

08.03.2025 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:2

19.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1

01.01.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 1:0

26.08.2023 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:1

18.04.2023 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:1

Latest results of Burton Albion

07.10.2025 Chesterfield - Burton Albion 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Cardiff City - Burton Albion 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle 0:4 ✺

20.09.2025 Huddersfield Town - Burton Albion 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

04.10.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Manchester City U21 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic 4:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	22	15	2	5	40:23	17	47
2	Lincoln	23	13	5	5	34:23	11	44
3	Bradford City	22	12	7	3	32:21	11	43
4	Stockport County	22	11	5	6	33:29	4	38
5	Huddersfield	23	11	4	8	42:31	11	37
6	Bolton	22	10	7	5	30:21	9	37
7	Stevenage	21	10	6	5	25:17	8	36
8	Luton	23	10	5	8	33:28	5	35
9	Wycombe	23	7	8	8	29:27	2	29
10	Reading	22	7	8	7	29:28	1	29
11	Mansfield	22	8	5	9	28:28	0	29
12	Wigan	22	7	8	7	25:25	0	29
13	Blackpool	23	8	5	10	29:30	-1	29
14	Peterborough	22	9	2	11	26:28	-2	29
15	Barnsley	20	8	4	8	32:32	0	28
16	Leyton Orient	23	8	4	11	34:38	-4	28
17	AFC Wimbledon	22	8	4	10	24:30	-6	28
18	Burton	22	7	6	9	23:29	-6	27
19	Northampton	22	8	3	11	22:28	-6	27
20	Exeter	22	8	2	12	22:21	1	26
21	Plymouth	23	8	2	13	28:38	-10	26
22	Rotherham	23	6	6	11	22:33	-11	24
23	Doncaster	23	6	4	13	23:40	-17	22
24	Port Vale	22	3	6	13	13:30	-17	15

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two