Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/10/2025 at  07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  League One - Round 14
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.22 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 38% | 62% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 79% (243/308) | 83% (438/526) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.22 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.00 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 1 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 23 | 13 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 11 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 79% (243/308) | 83% (438/526) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 41% (25/61) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 66% (59/90) | 67% (117/174) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 17% (4/24) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.64 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 23 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 11 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 78% (14/18) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 46 | 55 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 31 | 18 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 17 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.71 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.29 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Ng P. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Forss M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑, 
- 65', Davies I. ↓, Ashford C. ↑, 
- 65', Kellyman O. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑, 
- 75', Burstow M. ↓, Randall J. ↑, 
- 76', Conway M. ↓, Taylor R. ↑, 
- 77', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑, 
- 77', Robertson A. ↓, Wintle R. ↑, 
- 83', Salech Y. ↓, Robinson C. ↑, 
- 88', Simons X. ↓, Morley A. ↑, 
- 89', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨, 
- 90+2', Sheehan J. 🟨, 
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Cozier-Duberry A. ⚽, Dacres-Cogley J. (A), 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Bolton Wanderers 48.2%
 | Draw 25.4%
 | Cardiff City 26.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.98 ↓ (2.01)
 | 3.7 ↑ (3.53)
 | 3.52 ↑ (3.29)
 | 6.1% (8.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cardiff has had a series of home games.
- Bolton could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Gale T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
Tanner O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Forrester W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Cardiff City?
                    
                    
                        
                            Bolton Wanderers has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Bolton Wanderers?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cardiff City has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Bolton Wanderers                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cardiff City                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
English League One Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 | 
| 2 | Bradford City | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 | 
| 3 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 | 
| 4 | Stevenage | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 | 
| 5 | Lincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 25 | 
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 | 
| 8 | Mansfield | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 22 | 
| 9 | Huddersfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 | 
| 10 | Luton | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 | 
| 11 | Barnsley | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 | 
| 12 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 | 
| 13 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 | 
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | 
| 15 | Rotherham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 | 
| 16 | Northampton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 17 | 
| 17 | Wycombe | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 | 
| 18 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 | 
| 19 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | 
| 20 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 | 
| 21 | Port Vale | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 | 
| 22 | Plymouth | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 13 | 
| 23 | Blackpool | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 | 
| 24 | Peterborough | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 | 
      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two