Result
11/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 43
- Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
52.3% | Draw
23.2% | Bolton Wanderers
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cardiff City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.94) |
4.03 ↑
(3.6) |
3.81 ↑
(3.39) |
6.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cardiff is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Hamstring Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Thigh Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Simons X.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Lawlor D.
(Inactive)
Osho G.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Bolton Wanderers?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Cardiff City?
Bolton Wanderers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
25.10.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Cardiff City
1:0
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 41 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 77:35 | 42 | 90 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 74:42 | 32 | 78 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 41 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 52:45 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 41 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 59:42 | 17 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 40 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 42:38 | 4 | 64 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 41 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 64:56 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Reading | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 62:54 | 8 | 62 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 62:53 | 9 | 61 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 53 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 59:55 | 4 | 51 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 60:64 | -4 | 51 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 56:64 | -8 | 50 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 49:62 | -13 | 50 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 42:64 | -22 | 50 |
| 18 | Wigan | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 44:55 | -11 | 49 |
| 19 | Burton | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 45:56 | -11 | 48 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 48:64 | -16 | 48 |
| 21 | Exeter | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 45:53 | -8 | 46 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 35:59 | -24 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
