Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 14
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (243/308) | 83% (438/526) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (243/308) | 83% (438/526) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (59/90) | 67% (117/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Ng P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Forss M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
- 65', Davies I. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 65', Kellyman O. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
- 75', Burstow M. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
- 76', Conway M. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 77', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 77', Robertson A. ↓, Wintle R. ↑,
- 83', Salech Y. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 88', Simons X. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
- 89', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sheehan J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Cozier-Duberry A. ⚽, Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
48.2% | Draw
25.4% | Cardiff City
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.01) |
3.7 ↑
(3.53) |
3.52 ↑
(3.29) |
6.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cardiff has had a series of home games.
- Bolton could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Gale T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
Tanner O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Forrester W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Cardiff City?
Bolton Wanderers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Bolton Wanderers?
Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City were as follows:
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 71:34 | 37 | 81 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 76 |
| 3 | Bolton | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 55:38 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 59 |
| 6 | Reading | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 58 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 58:48 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 57 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:41 | 14 | 56 |
| 10 | Plymouth | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 57:53 | 4 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 51:48 | 3 | 54 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 59:59 | 0 | 50 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 37 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 56:51 | 5 | 49 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 48:54 | -6 | 49 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 46 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 53:62 | -9 | 45 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 40:59 | -19 | 44 |
| 18 | Burton | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:53 | -11 | 43 |
| 19 | Exeter | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42:50 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Wigan | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 35:55 | -20 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 32:52 | -20 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
