Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 5
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (552/622) | 69% (157/226) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (552/622) | 69% (157/226) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 56% (30/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (153/193) | 50% (36/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (6/37) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 39% (9/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Draper F. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
- 22', Erhahon E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Simons X. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
- 46', Erhahon E. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
- 59', Cissoko I. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
- 60', Towler R. 🟨,
- 61', Draper F. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
- 62', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 62', Bayliss T. ↓, Hamilton E. ↑,
- 74', Randall J. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
- 76', Conway M. 🟨,
- 82', McGrandles C. 🟨,
- 88', Conway M. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Hamer T. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
49.1% | Draw
27.6% | Lincoln City
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.75) |
3.54 ↑
(3.5) |
4.13 ↓
(4.25) |
2.2%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4.
- Bolton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lincoln is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bolton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Dempsey K.
(Knee Injury)
Forrester W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Taylor R.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
Montsma L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Lincoln City?
Bolton Wanderers has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Bolton Wanderers?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City were as follows:
21.04.2025
Lincoln City
-
Bolton Wanderers
4:2
14.01.2025
Lincoln City
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:1
29.12.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Lincoln City
3:0
26.12.2023
Lincoln City
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:1
05.08.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Lincoln City
3:0
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
