Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 32
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (178/278) | 80% (358/447) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.43 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (178/278) | 80% (358/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (25/74) | 42% (32/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (78/129) | 62% (76/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 3.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 2.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Draper F. 🟨,
- 22', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
- 23', Erhahon E. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
- 35', Dempsey K. 🟨,
- 45', Dalby S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 61', Dempsey K. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
- 65', Apter R. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
- 78', Moylan J. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 78', Draper F. ↓, House B. ↑,
- 79', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 79', McAtee J. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽, Erhahon E. (A),
- 88', Sheehan J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kenny J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Street R. ↓, One R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
40.6% | Draw
27.3% | Bolton Wanderers
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.29) |
3.42 ↑
(3.3) |
2.93 ↓
(2.94) |
6.5%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bolton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Jackson A.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Conway M.
(Inactive)
Kenny J.
(Calf Injury)
Rodrigues R.
(Inactive)
Sheehan J.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Bolton Wanderers?
Lincoln City has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Lincoln City?
Bolton Wanderers has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
23.08.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Lincoln City
1:1
21.04.2025
Lincoln City
-
Bolton Wanderers
4:2
14.01.2025
Lincoln City
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:1
29.12.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Lincoln City
3:0
26.12.2023
Lincoln City
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:1
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
