Result
4:2
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (269/357) | 78% (359/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (269/357) | 78% (359/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/61) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (42/87) | 67% (93/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.87 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.10 | -1.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Ring E. ⚽, Erhahon E. (A),
- 18', 2 - 0, Collins J. (Pen),
- 29', 2 - 1, Matete J. ⚽, Thomason G. (A),
- 36', Jones G. 🟨,
- 38', 2 - 2, Murphy A. ⚽, Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sharples Ahmed S. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 2, Collins J. ⚽, Roughan S. (A),
- 59', Collins A. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
- 59', Abimbola D. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
- 61', 4 - 2, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽,
- 63', Erhahon E. ↓, McGrandles C. ↑,
- 64', Hamer T. 🟨,
- 71', Ring E. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
- 72', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 73', House B. 🟨,
- 79', Johnston G. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
- 79', Jones G. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
- 82', House B. ↓, O'Connor P. ↑,
- 82', Collins J. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
- 90', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
35.4% | Draw
30.7% | Bolton Wanderers
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.68) |
3.08 ↓
(3.28) |
2.76 ↑
(2.62) |
5.9%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 47.1% – 83.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bolton (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 0.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B.
(Injury)
Jefferies D.
(Injury)
Makama J.
(Injury)
Moylan J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Forrester W.
(Injury)
Morley A.
(Injury)
Toal E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Bayliss T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Mendes C.
(Inactive)
Osei-Tutu J.
(Injury)
Schon S.
(Inactive)
Sheehan J.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Bolton Wanderers?
Lincoln City has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Lincoln City?
Bolton Wanderers has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
14.01.2025
Lincoln City
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:1
29.12.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Lincoln City
3:0
26.12.2023
Lincoln City
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:1
05.08.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Lincoln City
3:0
30.12.2022
Lincoln City
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Wigan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Lincoln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Cardiff | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Rotherham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Northampton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Bolton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
