Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City
Result
1:1
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 5
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.39
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
89% (552/622)69% (157/226)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.39
Total shots
185
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
2916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
89% (552/622)69% (157/226)
Long passes
59% (33/56)56% (30/54)
Passes in final third
79% (153/193)50% (36/72)
Crosses
16% (6/37)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.61
Throw-ins
2815
Fouls
1113
Tackles
60% (9/15)39% (9/23)
Duels won
5264
Clearances
2258
Interceptions
315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.390.86
Goals prevented
-0.610.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Draper F. , Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
  • 22', Erhahon E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Simons X. , Sheehan J. ,
  • 46', Erhahon E. , Morley A. ,
  • 59', Cissoko I. , Gale T. ,
  • 60', Towler R. 🟨,
  • 61', Draper F. , Collins J. ,
  • 62', Hackett-Fairchild R. , Street R. ,
  • 62', Bayliss T. , Hamilton E. ,
  • 74', Randall J. , Dalby S. ,
  • 76', Conway M. 🟨,
  • 82', McGrandles C. 🟨,
  • 88', Conway M. , Taylor R. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Hamer T. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
49.1%
Draw
27.6%
Lincoln City
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 26.2% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 28.7% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.75)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    4.13
    (4.25)
    2.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City?
  • Users Predictions: Bolton Wanderers will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 4.
    • Bolton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lincoln is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bolton is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Hamstring Injury) Taylor R. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Moylan J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D. (Hip Injury) Montsma L. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers 4:2
    14.01.2025 Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers 0:1
    29.12.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City 3:0
    26.12.2023 Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers 0:1
    05.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City 3:0
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1382321:111026
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1465319:15423
    8Mansfield1354419:15419
    9Huddersfield1261518:15319
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Wigan1445517:18-117
    12Northampton1352610:12-217
    13Doncaster1352612:18-617
    14Exeter1451814:14016
    15Luton1251614:15-116
    16Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    17Reading1335514:18-414
    18Rotherham1242612:16-414
    19Wycombe1334615:16-113
    20Port Vale1334611:12-113
    21Plymouth1341817:23-613
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two