Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton).

League One - Round 25
Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.35
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
80% (432/540)	62% (139/226)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	0.00
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
0	1
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
9	4
Shots inside the Box
12	3
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
32	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
7	9
Passes
80% (432/540)	62% (139/226)
Long passes
37% (25/67)	32% (24/75)
Passes in final third
72% (141/197)	55% (51/93)
Crosses
26% (8/31)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	0.23
Throw-ins
21	25
Fouls
9	7
Tackles
82% (9/11)	83% (20/24)
Duels won
53	57
Clearances
33	35
Interceptions
4	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
xGOT faced
0.00	0.00
Goals prevented
0.00	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', List E. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
56', Vale J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
58', Taylor R. ↓, Conway M. ↑,
58', Erhahon E. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
65', Dyche M. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
67', Cissoko I. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
76', Christie C. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
76', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
80', Perkins J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bolton Wanderers
67.9%

Draw
20.3%

Northampton Town
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.5%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

20.7%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.63 ↑ (4.34)	7.8 ↑ (6.63)	7.1% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 73.9% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3.
In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Northampton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Bolton is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Northampton: Fornah T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Northampton: McCarthy C. (Inactive) McGeehan C. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Wheatley E. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Northampton Town?

Bolton Wanderers has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Bolton Wanderers?

Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town were as follows:

27.09.2025 Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:0

28.01.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town 3:1

01.10.2024 Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:4

10.02.2024 Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers 1:1

21.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town 2:1

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

01.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Bolton Wanderers 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Northampton Town

01.01.2026 Northampton Town - Stockport County 0:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Huddersfield Town - Northampton Town 2:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Burton Albion - Northampton Town 5:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Peterborough United - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
7	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
8	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
9	Wycombe	34	13	11	10	49:36	13	50
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	31	12	8	11	53:53	0	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	33	11	8	14	38:39	-1	41
16	Mansfield	32	10	10	12	39:37	2	40
17	Burton	34	10	9	15	38:49	-11	39
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
23	Rotherham	33	9	7	17	33:47	-14	34
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two