Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton).

League One - Round 25
Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.35
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
80% (432/540)	62% (139/226)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	0.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	0.00
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
0	1
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
9	4
Shots inside the Box
12	3
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
32	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
7	9
Passes
80% (432/540)	62% (139/226)
Long passes
37% (25/67)	32% (24/75)
Passes in final third
72% (141/197)	55% (51/93)
Crosses
26% (8/31)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	0.23
Throw-ins
21	25
Fouls
9	7
Tackles
82% (9/11)	83% (20/24)
Duels won
53	57
Clearances
33	35
Interceptions
4	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
xGOT faced
0.00	0.00
Goals prevented
0.00	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', List E. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
56', Vale J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
58', Taylor R. ↓, Conway M. ↑,
58', Erhahon E. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
65', Dyche M. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
67', Cissoko I. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
76', Christie C. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
76', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
80', Perkins J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bolton Wanderers
67.9%

Draw
20.3%

Northampton Town
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.5%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

20.7%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.63 ↑ (4.34)	7.8 ↑ (6.63)	7.1% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 73.9% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 3.
In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Northampton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Bolton is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Northampton: Fornah T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Northampton: McCarthy C. (Inactive) McGeehan C. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Wheatley E. (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Northampton Town?

Bolton Wanderers has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Bolton Wanderers?

Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town were as follows:

27.09.2025 Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:0

28.01.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town 3:1

01.10.2024 Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:4

10.02.2024 Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers 1:1

21.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town 2:1

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

01.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Bolton Wanderers 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Exeter City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Northampton Town

01.01.2026 Northampton Town - Stockport County 0:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Huddersfield Town - Northampton Town 2:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Burton Albion - Northampton Town 5:1 ✺

19.12.2025 Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Peterborough United - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two