Guaraní Asuncion vs Boston River – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Guaraní Asuncion - Boston River
Result
0:5
28/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
  • Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.81
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
82% (415/509)81% (303/376)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.713.27
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
1524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
814
Passes
82% (415/509)81% (303/376)
Long passes
46% (19/41)50% (35/70)
Passes in final third
68% (93/136)74% (59/80)
Crosses
26% (7/27)6% (1/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.99
Throw-ins
2916
Fouls
148
Tackles
20% (3/15)54% (15/28)
Duels won
5063
Clearances
2332
Interceptions
418
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
3.270.71
Goals prevented
-1.730.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Rodriguez F. , Gutierrez J. (A),
  • 39', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 2, Gutierrez J. , Rodriguez F. (A),
  • 45+2', 0 - 3, Lopez G. , Amado A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Barrientos N. , Maidana A. ,
  • 46', Pinatares B. , Maiz A. ,
  • 46', Mendieta W. , Ramirez I. ,
  • 46', Patino Martinez J. , Maciel A. ,
  • 49', 0 - 4, Barcia B. ,
  • 61', Torales R. , Cespedes V. ,
  • 65', 0 - 5, Lopez G. , Gutierrez J. (A),
  • 68', Rodriguez F. , Anello A. ,
  • 68', Barcia B. , Noguera F. ,
  • 75', Silva A. , Robatto J. ,
  • 75', Gutierrez J. , Munoa F. ,
  • 78', Cantero A. 🟨,
  • 79', Lemos L. , Chiappini F. ,

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
64.9%
Draw
22.3%
Boston River
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 19.1% 11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 16.5% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Boston River Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.34)
    4.19
    (4.87)
    7.22
    (8.01)
    6.4%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Boston River?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Boston River will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Boston River (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Guaraní has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boston River's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Guaraní is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guaraní won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Boston River were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Boston River - Guaraní Asuncion 3:3
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Latest results of Boston River
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2