Result
0:3
14/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV App |
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (355/416) | 90% (525/584) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (355/416) | 90% (525/584) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 76% (31/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (44/69) | 78% (121/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Samuel Lino ⚽, Varela G. (A),
- 44', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Leo Pereira ⚽,
- 45+4', Allan 🟨,
- 45+9', Barboza A. 🟥,
- 45+12', Anselmi M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Allan ↓, Newton ↑,
- 46', Matheus Martins ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 3, Pedro ⚽, Varela G. (A),
- 55', Barrera J. ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 59', Pulgar E. 🟨,
- 65', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
- 65', Leo Pereira ↓, Vitao ↑,
- 67', Arthur Cabral 🟨,
- 68', Jorginho 🟨,
- 70', Pulgar E. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
- 71', Arthur Cabral ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 81', Danilo ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 86', Carrascal J. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 86', Jorginho ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
23% | Draw
28.9% | Flamengo
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Botafogo RJ - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.13 ↑
(3.42) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
1.98 ↓
(2.09) |
5.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Flamengo will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Botafogo (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 50%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0.
- Recent performances by Botafogo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Flamengo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Botafogo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Flamengo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Kaio Pantaleao
(Inactive)
Marcal
(Knee Injury)
Ramos C.
(Knock)
Rodriguez S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Bruno Henrique
(Inactive)
Niguez S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Matheus Martins
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Daniel Thuram
(Injury)
Emerson Royal
(Injury)
Ryan Roberto
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Flamengo?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Botafogo RJ?
Flamengo has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Flamengo were as follows:
15.02.2026
Botafogo RJ
-
Flamengo
1:2
15.10.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Flamengo
0:3
18.05.2025
Flamengo
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
12.02.2025
Flamengo
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
02.02.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Flamengo
1:3
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
