Botafogo RJ vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
15/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 28
  • Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, R7, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 3
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
spainSpain#Vamos
surinameSurinameSCCN
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.97
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
84% (305/362)90% (486/539)
Yellow Cards
55
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.831.81
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1410
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1721
Passes
84% (305/362)90% (486/539)
Long passes
56% (24/43)58% (18/31)
Passes in final third
64% (50/78)81% (104/128)
Crosses
31% (5/16)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.03
Throw-ins
1214
Fouls
2117
Tackles
73% (11/15)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
2211
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.810.83
Goals prevented
-1.190.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Leo Pereira 🟨,
  • 21', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Pedro , de Arrascaeta G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', Arthur Cabral , Ramos C. ,
  • 58', Emerson Royal 🟨,
  • 59', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
  • 61', Samuel Lino , Everton ,
  • 61', Evertton Araujo , Pulgar E. ,
  • 61', Marcal 🟨,
  • 63', Artur , Jeffinho ,
  • 63', Savarino J. , Correa J. ,
  • 64', Luiz Araujo 🟨,
  • 68', Barboza A. 🟨,
  • 70', 0 - 2, Luiz Araujo , Pedro (A),
  • 72', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
  • 74', de Arrascaeta G. , Carrascal J. ,
  • 77', Rodriguez S. , Matheus Martins ,
  • 79', Everton , Michael ,
  • 79', Pedro , Plata G. ,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Plata G. , Carrascal J. (A),
  • 88', Allan 🟨,
  • 90+2', Leo Ortiz 🟨,

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
22.5%
Draw
30%
Flamengo
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 29.9% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 30% 43.7%

Botafogo RJ - Flamengo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.17
(3.58)
3.2
(3.15)
2.02
(2.15)
4.9%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Flamengo will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 26.9%73.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Alex Telles (Knee Injury) Barrera J. (International duty) Bastos (Knee Injury) Danilo (Thigh Injury) Kaio (Knee Injury) Marcal (Muscle Injury) Montoro A. (International duty) Nathan Fernandes (Arm Injury) Neto (Thigh Injury) Newton (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo (Red Card) Niguez S. (Ankle Injury) Pulgar E. (Foot Injury) Wallace Yan (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Barrera J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Flamengo: Michael (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 0.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Flamengo were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    12.02.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    02.02.2025 Botafogo RJ - Flamengo 1:3
    18.08.2024 Botafogo RJ - Flamengo 4:1
    28.04.2024 Flamengo - Botafogo RJ 0:2
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    01.10.2025 Botafogo RJ - Bahia 2:1
    28.09.2025 Fluminense - Botafogo RJ 2:0
    24.09.2025 Grêmio - Botafogo RJ 1:1
    Latest results of Flamengo
    05.10.2025 Bahia - Flamengo 1:0
    02.10.2025 Flamengo - Cruzeiro 0:0
    28.09.2025 Corinthians - Flamengo 1:2
    21.09.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ ✔ 35228573:235074
    2Palmeiras ✔ 35217758:292970
    3Cruzeiro351911552:252768
    4Mirassol351712658:342463
    5Botafogo RJ351610950:321858
    6Bahia351681147:43456
    7Fluminense351671240:38255
    8Sao Paulo351391340:40048
    9Bragantino351361640:53-1345
    10Corinthians351291438:42-445
    11Atletico-MG3411111237:39-244
    12Gremio3511101439:46-743
    13Vasco351261750:52-242
    14Ceara351191532:35-342
    15Internacional3510111440:48-841
    16Vitoria359121432:48-1639
    17Santos359111536:50-1438
    18Fortaleza348101637:53-1634
    19Juventude35962033:64-3133
    20Sport Recife352112228:66-3817

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Flamengo RJ is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
    Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )