Result
0:3
15/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 28
- Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, R7, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Spain | #Vamos |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/362) | 90% (486/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/362) | 90% (486/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 58% (18/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (50/78) | 81% (104/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 21', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Pedro ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Arthur Cabral ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
- 58', Emerson Royal 🟨,
- 59', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 61', Samuel Lino ↓, Everton ↑,
- 61', Evertton Araujo ↓, Pulgar E. ↑,
- 61', Marcal 🟨,
- 63', Artur ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 63', Savarino J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 64', Luiz Araujo 🟨,
- 68', Barboza A. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 2, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 72', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
- 74', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
- 77', Rodriguez S. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 79', Everton ↓, Michael ↑,
- 79', Pedro ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 3, Plata G. ⚽, Carrascal J. (A),
- 88', Allan 🟨,
- 90+2', Leo Ortiz 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
22.5% | Draw
30% | Flamengo
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Botafogo RJ - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.17 ↑
(3.58) |
3.2 ↑
(3.15) |
2.02 ↓
(2.15) |
4.9%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Flamengo will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 26.9% – 73.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Botafogo (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Botafogo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Botafogo (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Flamengo (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Flamengo (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Alex Telles
(Knee Injury)
Barrera J.
(International duty)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Danilo
(Thigh Injury)
Kaio
(Knee Injury)
Marcal
(Muscle Injury)
Montoro A.
(International duty)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
Newton
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo
(Red Card)
Niguez S.
(Ankle Injury)
Pulgar E.
(Foot Injury)
Wallace Yan
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Barrera J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Flamengo: Michael
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Flamengo?
Botafogo RJ has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Botafogo RJ?
Flamengo has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Flamengo were as follows:
18.05.2025
Flamengo
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
12.02.2025
Flamengo
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
02.02.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Flamengo
1:3
18.08.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Flamengo
4:1
28.04.2024
Flamengo
-
Botafogo RJ
0:2
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Vitoria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Bahia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Athletico-PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Corinthians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Internacional | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Coritiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Remo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
