Boulogne vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 10
  • Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.89
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
81% (323/398)88% (468/534)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.140.89
Total shots
88
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1312
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
81% (323/398)88% (468/534)
Long passes
44% (21/48)65% (43/66)
Passes in final third
65% (83/128)71% (71/100)
Crosses
7% (1/15)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.76
Throw-ins
1523
Fouls
1412
Tackles
42% (8/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
2918
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.891.14
Goals prevented
-1.11-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Ourega D. , Hemia A. (A),
  • 34', Binet N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Louiserre D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Capuano G. , Fatou C. ,
  • 52', Boyer J. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Mafouta L. , Hemia A. (A),
  • 67', Raillot L. , Bultel J. ,
  • 67', Platret A. , Fatar N. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Fatou C. , Duflos S. (A),
  • 73', Sagna A. , Ott G. ,
  • 73', Hemia A. , N'Landu D. ,
  • 76', Duflos S. , Boiteau L. ,
  • 77', Mafouta L. , Kielt S. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Fatar N. , Fatou C. (A),
  • 83', Pinot A. 🟨,
  • 88', Binet N. , Gourville S. ,
  • 89', Boiteau L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Boulogne
29%
Draw
29.7%
Guingamp
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.8% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.3% 34.3%

Boulogne - Guingamp Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.6
(2.48)
3.36
(3.53)
2.39
(2.71)
-0.5%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Guingamp?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Guingamp will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 30.1%75.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 6).
    • Recent performances by Boulogne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Guingamp is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Mpembele Boula E. (Inactive) Raillot L. (Inactive) Siliadin L. (Injury) Toure H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Boulogne: Binet N. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Boulogne
    03.10.2025 Amiens - Boulogne 0:1
    29.09.2025 Boulogne - Red Star 1:2
    23.09.2025 Montpellier - Boulogne 1:3
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    Latest results of Guingamp
    03.10.2025 Guingamp - Nancy 2:2
    27.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 2:3
    23.09.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 2:1
    20.09.2025 Troyes - Guingamp 5:2
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes17105230:161435
    2St Etienne1793535:251030
    3Le Mans1786322:17530
    4Reims1785432:201229
    5Red Star1685321:15629
    6Dunkerque1776429:191027
    7Pau FC1775523:25-226
    8Montpellier1774618:16225
    9Guingamp1765625:30-523
    10Annecy1764721:18322
    11Grenoble1756619:21-221
    12Rodez1756618:23-521
    13Clermont1747616:21-519
    14Amiens1753921:26-518
    15Nancy1753915:22-718
    16Boulogne1744918:26-816
    17Laval1736813:22-915
    18Bastia1615108:22-148

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National