Result
2:2
17/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 10
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (323/398) | 88% (468/534) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (323/398) | 88% (468/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 65% (43/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (83/128) | 71% (71/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.11 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Ourega D. ⚽, Hemia A. (A),
- 34', Binet N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Louiserre D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Capuano G. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
- 52', Boyer J. 🟨,
- 66', 0 - 2, Mafouta L. ⚽, Hemia A. (A),
- 67', Raillot L. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
- 67', Platret A. ↓, Fatar N. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Fatou C. ⚽, Duflos S. (A),
- 73', Sagna A. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
- 73', Hemia A. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
- 76', Duflos S. ↓, Boiteau L. ↑,
- 77', Mafouta L. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Fatar N. ⚽, Fatou C. (A),
- 83', Pinot A. 🟨,
- 88', Binet N. ↓, Gourville S. ↑,
- 89', Boiteau L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boulogne
29% | Draw
29.7% | Guingamp
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Boulogne - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.6 ↑
(2.48) |
3.36 ↓
(3.53) |
2.39 ↓
(2.71) |
-0.5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Guingamp?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Guingamp will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 6).
- Recent performances by Boulogne have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Guingamp is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C.
(Inactive)
Lenogue X.
(Inactive)
Mpembele Boula E.
(Inactive)
Raillot L.
(Inactive)
Siliadin L.
(Injury)
Toure H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A.
(Inactive)
Nair S.
(Ankle Injury)
Ortola A.
(Elbow Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Boulogne: Binet N.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Guingamp?
Boulogne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Boulogne?
Guingamp has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Guingamp were as follows:
Latest results of Boulogne
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27:14 | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 33:22 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Red Star | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Reims | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 25 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 17:14 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | Le Mans | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | Guingamp | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Dunkerque | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:18 | 8 | 21 |
| 10 | Annecy | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Clermont | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Rodez | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Laval | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 | Amiens | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Nancy | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 15 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Bastia | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
