Result
1:0
24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 11
- Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (420/507) | 65% (165/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (420/507) | 65% (165/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 23% (11/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (86/121) | 45% (29/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', El Farissi A. 🟨,
- 33', Rossignol M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Mpembele Boula E. ↓, Capuano G. ↑,
- 58', Boiteau L. ↓, Boulet F. ↑,
- 59', Harhouz W. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
- 60', Rossignol M. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 60', Rabillard A. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 66', Bultel J. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
- 71', Robin M. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
- 71', Buades L. ↓, Gomes M. ↑,
- 76', Oggad B. 🟨,
- 81', Thiam D. ↓, Gourville S. ↑,
- 81', El Farissi A. ↓, Toure H. ↑,
- 90', Toure H. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Yohou S. ⚽, Lauray A. (A),
Chances of winning
Le Mans
48.1% | Draw
28% | Boulogne
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Le Mans - Boulogne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95
(1.95) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
3.95 ↑
(3.9) |
6.5%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Boulogne?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Boulogne (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 3.
- Le Mans is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Boulogne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Le Mans might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Le Mans: Abanda L.
(Inactive)
Cisse A.
(Inactive)
Delbecque A.
(Inactive)
Guillaume B.
(Inactive)
Luvambo T.
(Injury)
Ribelin A.
(Inactive)
Vercruysse J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C.
(Inactive)
Lenogue X.
(Inactive)
Martin J.
(Injury)
Siliadin L.
(Injury)
Toure H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Boulogne: Binet N.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Boulogne?
Le Mans has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Le Mans?
Boulogne has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Boulogne were as follows:
14.02.2025
Le Mans
-
Boulogne
1:0
13.09.2024
Boulogne
-
Le Mans
3:2
Latest results of Le Mans
Latest results of Boulogne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
