Swindon Town vs Bradford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two
Result
5:4
12/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.66
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
279
Shots on target
126
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
84% (418/500)56% (106/189)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.66
xG on target (xGOT)
3.553.32
Total shots
279
Shots on target
126
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
100
Shots inside the Box
167
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
4512
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
810
Passes
84% (418/500)56% (106/189)
Long passes
43% (22/51)32% (21/66)
Passes in final third
75% (144/191)47% (37/79)
Crosses
28% (9/32)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.800.27
Fouls
108
Tackles
47% (7/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4650
Clearances Total
2834
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
3.323.55
Goals prevented
-0.68-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Kavanagh C. ⚽, Halliday B. (A),
  • 10', 0 - 2, Kavanagh C. ⚽,
  • 14', Smallwood R. 🟥,
  • 22', 1 - 2, Byrne N. (Own goal),
  • 28', Kirkman B. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
  • 30', Khela B. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 3, Kavanagh C. ⚽, Halliday B. (A),
  • 45+4', 2 - 3, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Clarke O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Pattison A. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
  • 46', Pointon B. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
  • 46', Clarke O. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
  • 46', Kilkenny G. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
  • 62', 3 - 3, Smith H. ⚽, Ameen B. (A),
  • 64', Halliday B. 🟨,
  • 74', Khela B. ↓, Sarcevic A. ↑,
  • 75', Nichols T. ↓, Cox G. ↑,
  • 76', Glatzel P. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
  • 78', 3 - 4, Halliday B. ⚽,
  • 80', Shepherd J. 🟨,
  • 82', Butterworth D. 🟨,
  • 82', Adaramola T. 🟨,
  • 90', 4 - 4, Smith H. ⚽, Cox G. (A),
  • 90+3', Smith H. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 5 - 4, Shepherd J. (Own goal),
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Adaramola T. ↓, Mellon M. ↑,
  • 90+7', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Wright T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
29.5%		Draw
28.3%		Bradford City
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 28.4% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 27.5% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
    •

    Swindon Town - Bradford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.17 ↑
    (3.06)    		 3.32 ↑
    (3.3)    		 2.22 ↓
    (2.28)    		 6.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Bradford City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bradford will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 3 - 50%). Bradford (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bradford will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Clarke O. (Inactive) Delaney R. (Injury) Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Ripley C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bradford: Cook A. (Knee Injury) Richards L. (Injury) Sarcevic A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bradford: Byrne N. (Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Swindon won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Bradford City were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:0
    27.01.2024 Swindon Town - Bradford City 2:0
    07.10.2023 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:0
    18.04.2023 Swindon Town - Bradford City 1:0
    25.10.2022 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:1
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    05.04.2025 Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺
    01.04.2025 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Morecambe - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺
    22.03.2025 Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town 3:3 ✺
    Latest results of Bradford City
    05.04.2025 Bradford City - Crewe Alexandra 2:0 ✺
    01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Accrington Stanley - Bradford City 0:0 ✺
    22.03.2025 Bradford City - Colchester United 4:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Bradford City - Tranmere Rovers 0:1 ✺
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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