Swindon Town vs Bradford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Swindon Town - Bradford City
Result
5:4
12/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.66
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
279
Shots on target
126
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
84% (418/500)56% (106/189)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.66
xG on target (xGOT)
3.553.32
Total shots
279
Shots on target
126
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
100
Shots inside the Box
167
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
4512
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
810
Passes
84% (418/500)56% (106/189)
Long passes
43% (22/51)32% (21/66)
Passes in final third
75% (144/191)47% (37/79)
Crosses
28% (9/32)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.800.27
Fouls
108
Tackles
47% (7/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4650
Clearances Total
2834
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
3.323.55
Goals prevented
-0.68-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Kavanagh C. , Halliday B. (A),
  • 10', 0 - 2, Kavanagh C. ,
  • 14', Smallwood R. 🟥,
  • 22', 1 - 2, Byrne N. (Own goal),
  • 28', Kirkman B. , Ameen B. ,
  • 30', Khela B. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 3, Kavanagh C. , Halliday B. (A),
  • 45+4', 2 - 3, Tshimanga K. , Clarke O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Pattison A. , Kelly C. ,
  • 46', Pointon B. , Johnson C. ,
  • 46', Clarke O. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 46', Kilkenny G. , Westley J. ,
  • 62', 3 - 3, Smith H. , Ameen B. (A),
  • 64', Halliday B. 🟨,
  • 74', Khela B. , Sarcevic A. ,
  • 75', Nichols T. , Cox G. ,
  • 76', Glatzel P. , Ofoborh N. ,
  • 78', 3 - 4, Halliday B. ,
  • 80', Shepherd J. 🟨,
  • 82', Butterworth D. 🟨,
  • 82', Adaramola T. 🟨,
  • 90', 4 - 4, Smith H. , Cox G. (A),
  • 90+3', Smith H. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 5 - 4, Shepherd J. (Own goal),
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Adaramola T. , Mellon M. ,
  • 90+7', Crichlow-Noble R. , Wright T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
29.5%
Draw
28.3%
Bradford City
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 28.4% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 27.5% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Swindon Town - Bradford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (3.06)
    3.32
    (3.3)
    2.22
    (2.28)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Bradford City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bradford will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bradford (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bradford will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Clarke O. (Inactive) Delaney R. (Injury) Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Ripley C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bradford: Cook A. (Knee Injury) Richards L. (Injury) Sarcevic A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bradford: Byrne N. (Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Swindon won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Bradford City were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:0
    27.01.2024 Swindon Town - Bradford City 2:0
    07.10.2023 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:0
    18.04.2023 Swindon Town - Bradford City 1:0
    25.10.2022 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:1
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Bradford City
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League