Result
5:4
12/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 42
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (418/500) | 56% (106/189) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 3.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (418/500) | 56% (106/189) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 32% (21/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (144/191) | 47% (37/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.32 | 3.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, Kavanagh C. ⚽, Halliday B. (A),
- 10', 0 - 2, Kavanagh C. ⚽,
- 14', Smallwood R. 🟥,
- 22', 1 - 2, Byrne N. (Own goal),
- 28', Kirkman B. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
- 30', Khela B. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 3, Kavanagh C. ⚽, Halliday B. (A),
- 45+4', 2 - 3, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Clarke O. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Pattison A. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
- 46', Pointon B. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
- 46', Clarke O. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 46', Kilkenny G. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 3, Smith H. ⚽, Ameen B. (A),
- 64', Halliday B. 🟨,
- 74', Khela B. ↓, Sarcevic A. ↑,
- 75', Nichols T. ↓, Cox G. ↑,
- 76', Glatzel P. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 4, Halliday B. ⚽,
- 80', Shepherd J. 🟨,
- 82', Butterworth D. 🟨,
- 82', Adaramola T. 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 4, Smith H. ⚽, Cox G. (A),
- 90+3', Smith H. 🟨,
- 90+5', 5 - 4, Shepherd J. (Own goal),
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', Adaramola T. ↓, Mellon M. ↑,
- 90+7', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Wright T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
29.5% | Draw
28.3% | Bradford City
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Swindon Town - Bradford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(3.06) |
3.32 ↑
(3.3) |
2.22 ↓
(2.28) |
6.7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Bradford City?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bradford will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bradford (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Bradford will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Swindon: Clarke O.
(Inactive)
Delaney R.
(Injury)
Drinan A.
(Knee Injury)
Hall G.
(Inactive)
McGregor J.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Ripley C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bradford: Cook A.
(Knee Injury)
Richards L.
(Injury)
Sarcevic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bradford: Byrne N.
(Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Swindon won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Bradford City?
Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bradford City won against Swindon Town?
Bradford City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Bradford City were as follows:
14.12.2024
Bradford City
-
Swindon Town
1:0
27.01.2024
Swindon Town
-
Bradford City
2:0
07.10.2023
Bradford City
-
Swindon Town
1:0
18.04.2023
Swindon Town
-
Bradford City
1:0
25.10.2022
Bradford City
-
Swindon Town
1:1
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Bradford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
