Swindon Town vs Bradford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
12/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.66
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
279
Shots on target
126
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
84% (418/500)56% (106/189)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.091.66
xG on target (xGOT)
3.553.32
Total shots
279
Shots on target
126
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
100
Shots inside the Box
167
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
4512
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
810
Passes
84% (418/500)56% (106/189)
Long passes
43% (22/51)32% (21/66)
Passes in final third
75% (144/191)47% (37/79)
Crosses
28% (9/32)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.800.27
Fouls
108
Tackles
47% (7/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4650
Clearances Total
2834
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
3.323.55
Goals prevented
-0.68-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Kavanagh C. , Halliday B. (A),
  • 10', 0 - 2, Kavanagh C. ,
  • 14', Smallwood R. 🟥,
  • 22', 1 - 2, Byrne N. (Own goal),
  • 28', Kirkman B. , Ameen B. ,
  • 30', Khela B. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 3, Kavanagh C. , Halliday B. (A),
  • 45+4', 2 - 3, Tshimanga K. , Clarke O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Pattison A. , Kelly C. ,
  • 46', Pointon B. , Johnson C. ,
  • 46', Clarke O. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 46', Kilkenny G. , Westley J. ,
  • 62', 3 - 3, Smith H. , Ameen B. (A),
  • 64', Halliday B. 🟨,
  • 74', Khela B. , Sarcevic A. ,
  • 75', Nichols T. , Cox G. ,
  • 76', Glatzel P. , Ofoborh N. ,
  • 78', 3 - 4, Halliday B. ,
  • 80', Shepherd J. 🟨,
  • 82', Butterworth D. 🟨,
  • 82', Adaramola T. 🟨,
  • 90', 4 - 4, Smith H. , Cox G. (A),
  • 90+3', Smith H. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 5 - 4, Shepherd J. (Own goal),
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Adaramola T. , Mellon M. ,
  • 90+7', Crichlow-Noble R. , Wright T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swindon Town
29.5%
Draw
28.3%
Bradford City
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 28.4% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 27.5% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Swindon Town - Bradford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (3.06)
    3.32
    (3.3)
    2.22
    (2.28)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Bradford City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bradford will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.7%78.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 3 - 50%). Bradford (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bradford will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Swindon: Clarke O. (Inactive) Delaney R. (Injury) Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Ripley C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bradford: Cook A. (Knee Injury) Richards L. (Injury) Sarcevic A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bradford: Byrne N. (Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Swindon won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Bradford City were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:0
    27.01.2024 Swindon Town - Bradford City 2:0
    07.10.2023 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:0
    18.04.2023 Swindon Town - Bradford City 1:0
    25.10.2022 Bradford City - Swindon Town 1:1
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    Latest results of Bradford City
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One