Result
1:0
28/11/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 6
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (207/306) | 75% (322/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (207/306) | 75% (322/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/68) | 24% (14/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (41/87) | 60% (92/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.12 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Klein S. ⚽, Vidic J. (A),
- 30', Valkanis M. 🟨,
- 31', Esposito S. 🟨,
- 31', Vidic J. 🟨,
- 35', Roderick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Grimaldi M. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
- 64', Vrakas G. ↓, Maieroni N. ↑,
- 64', Klein S. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
- 64', Reec J. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
- 72', D'Arrigo L. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
- 72', Jelacic K. ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
- 72', Ruhs M. ↓, Long Ch. ↑,
- 80', Inserra J. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
- 85', Vidic J. ↓, Hore H. ↑,
- 90+10', Genreau D. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
39.2% | Draw
26.8% | Melbourne Victory
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.57) |
3.53 ↑
(3.38) |
2.79 ↑
(2.56) |
5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 50%). Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Brisbane (1.75) (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.
- Recent performances by Brisbane have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melbourne Victory's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Bility H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Burke-Gilroy A.
(Foot Injury)
Ferkranus M.
(Muscle Injury)
Halloran B.
(Knee Injury)
Long Ch.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Melbourne Victory?
Brisbane Roar has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne Victory has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
01.03.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
09.11.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Brisbane Roar
2:0
20.04.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Brisbane Roar
0:0
03.03.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne Victory
3:2
06.01.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Brisbane Roar
0:1
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Adelaide United | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Macarthur FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Perth Glory | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Melbourne City | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Newcastle Jets | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Central Coast Mariners | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
