Result
1:1
01/03/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 21
- Referee: Shakespear N. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (285/355) | 85% (471/554) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 65% (53/82) | 68% (92/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 17% (2/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 62% (16/26) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Hore H. ⚽, O'Shea J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Abubakar A. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
- 53', Amanatidis N. ↓, Zimarino A. ↑,
- 57', Machach Z. 🟨,
- 57', O'Shea J. 🟨,
- 59', Machach Z. ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
- 63', Jelacic K. 🟨,
- 69', Ludwik A. ↓, Hingert J. ↑,
- 69', Valadon J. 🟨,
- 71', Hamill B. ↓, Jackson L. ↑,
- 71', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
- 77', Piscopo R. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
- 77', Valadon J. ↓, Monge F. ↑,
- 84', Burke-Gilroy A. ↓, Kasawaya P. ↑,
- 88', Hore H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Monge F. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Bos K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
23.6% | Draw
23.9% | Melbourne Victory
52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Roar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Victory could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↓
(4.92) |
3.96 ↓
(4.64) |
1.82 ↑
(1.57) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 3.
- Brisbane is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Melbourne Victory is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Melbourne Victory could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Brisbane have a series of guest games.
- In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
- There will not play in Brisbane: Brown C.
(Injury)
Herrington L.
(International duty)
MacNicol Q.
(International duty)
Warland B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Badolato A.
(International duty)
Duncan J.
(Injury)
Inserra J.
(International duty)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Brisbane won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:29 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brisbane won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:18 (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Melbourne Victory?
Brisbane Roar has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne Victory has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
09.11.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Brisbane Roar
2:0
20.04.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Brisbane Roar
0:0
03.03.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne Victory
3:2
06.01.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Brisbane Roar
0:1
29.10.2022
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne Victory
0:0
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
