Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian Cup Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar
Result
1:0
14/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Australia Cup - Preliminary - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia10 Play, Paramount+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
619
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Total shots
619
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
213
Corner Kicks
23
Offsides
15
Fouls
1010
Goalkeeper Saves
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', O'Shea J. (Pen),
  • 34', Bility H. 🟨,
  • 36', Walker N. , Brooke-Smith L. ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Barbarouses K. , Sloane-Rodrigues G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Hingert J. 🟨,
  • 53', Barbarouses K. 🟨,
  • 58', Jelacic K. , Halloran B. ,
  • 58', Berenguer F. , Brazete J. ,
  • 61', O'Shea J. 🟨,
  • 64', Rufer A. 🟨,
  • 70', Klein S. 🟨,
  • 76', Hore H. , Shour W. ,
  • 87', Retre P. , Conchie F. ,
  • 87', Hingert J. , Zimarino A. ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 89', Rufer A. 🟨,
  • 90', Sloane-Rodrigues G. , Nagasawa K. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
25.1%
Draw
25.3%
Brisbane Roar
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 24.8% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 24.2% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Wellington Phoenix have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.69
    (3.71)
    3.63
    (3.76)
    1.86
    (1.86)
    8.5%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Brisbane Roar will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
    • Wellington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Brisbane is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Brisbane is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    05.02.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar 1:1
    30.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar 1:0
    02.02.2024 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 1:1
    04.11.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar 5:2
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    Draw
    Main

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