Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/465) | 82% (276/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/465) | 82% (276/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 39% (16/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (90/136) | 69% (47/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, McGarry J. ⚽,
- 25', Klein S. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Piper C. ⚽, Hughes I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Valkanis D. 🟨,
- 55', Vidic J. 🟨,
- 62', Tuiloma B. ↓, James M. ↑,
- 68', Vrakas G. 🟨,
- 73', Vrakas G. ↓, Dench M. ↑,
- 73', Vidic J. ↓, Thom N. ↑,
- 77', Najjarine R. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
- 77', Payne T. ↓, Sheridan M. ↑,
- 80', Ruhs M. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
- 84', Hore H. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 85', Edwards D. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
- 85', Piper C. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Eze I. ⚽, Brooke-Smith L. (A),
- 89', Brooke-Smith L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rufer A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hughes I. ↓, Armiento C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
45.8% | Draw
27% | Wellington Phoenix
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.86) |
3.5 ↓
(3.55) |
3.49 ↓
(3.8) |
5.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Wellington will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
- Brisbane has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Wellington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Brisbane could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Maieroni N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Wellington: Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wellington: Tuiloma B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Wellington Phoenix?
Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Brisbane Roar?
Wellington Phoenix has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
03.01.2026
Brisbane Roar
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:3
25.10.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Brisbane Roar
2:1
14.05.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Brisbane Roar
1:0
26.04.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
05.02.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
