Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 9
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (413/509) | 74% (276/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (413/509) | 74% (276/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (15/47) | 34% (22/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (84/138) | 51% (47/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Sykes M. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Riis E. ⚽, Neto Borges (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
- 51', Kone R. 🟨,
- 54', Sykes M. ↓, McCrorie R. ↑,
- 65', Dembele K. ↓, Smyth P. ↑,
- 65', Saito K. ↓, Vale H. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Kone R. ⚽,
- 67', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
- 68', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 73', Vyner Z. 🟨,
- 83', Kone R. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Smyth P. ⚽, Dunne J. (A),
- 86', Tanner G. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
- 89', Atkinson R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Burrell R. ↓, Frey M. ↑,
- 90+5', Hirakawa Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol City 50.9% | Draw 26.1% | Queens Park Rangers 23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 (1.86) |
3.66 ↑ (3.4) |
4.12 ↑ (4) |
5.3% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 6 - 40%). QPR will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 15.2% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 40%). QPR (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.
- Bristol City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- QPR is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- QPR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bristol City is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M.
(Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
O'Leary M.
(Ankle Injury)
Pring C.
(Ankle Injury)
Stokes J.
(Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in QPR: Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Mbengue A. S.
(Yellow Cards)
Poku K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Walsh J.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol City: Knight J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in QPR: Clarke-Salter J.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Queens Park Rangers?
Bristol City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Bristol City?
Queens Park Rangers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
12.04.2025
Queens Park Rangers
-
Bristol City
1:1
14.12.2024
Bristol City
-
Queens Park Rangers
1:1
17.02.2024
Bristol City
-
Queens Park Rangers
0:1
11.11.2023
Queens Park Rangers
-
Bristol City
0:0
08.05.2023
Queens Park Rangers
-
Bristol City
0:2
Latest results of Bristol City
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 31:8 | 23 | 25 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Millwall | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Stoke | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Hull | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | QPR | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | West Brom | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Preston | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Watford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Swansea | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 | Southampton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Derby | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Oxford Utd | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 9 |
| 22 | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One