Stoke City vs Bristol City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
01/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 13
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.86
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
96
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
84% (371/443)75% (239/320)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.86
xG on target (xGOT)
4.130.89
Total shots
1417
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
1210
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
2939
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
84% (371/443)75% (239/320)
Long passes
63% (36/57)21% (10/47)
Passes in final third
74% (90/121)65% (80/123)
Crosses
10% (1/10)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.291.16
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
1310
Tackles
14% (1/7)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
3917
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.894.13
Goals prevented
-0.11-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Mubama D. , Tchamadeu J. (A),
  • 7', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Mubama D. ,
  • 25', 3 - 0, Manhoef M. , Mubama D. (A),
  • 45', Cresswell A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Tanner G. , Riis E. ,
  • 47', 4 - 0, Tchamadeu J. , Manhoef M. (A),
  • 49', Atkinson R. , Roberts H. ,
  • 49', Twine S. , McCrorie R. ,
  • 57', Manhoef M. , Cisse L. ,
  • 57', Pearson B. , Seko T. ,
  • 67', 5 - 0, Mubama D. , Cisse L. (A),
  • 68', Mehmeti A. , Hirakawa Y. ,
  • 75', Thomas S. , Rigo T. ,
  • 78', Armstrong S. , Thomas O. ,
  • 82', 5 - 1, Sykes M. , Hirakawa Y. (A),
  • 90+3', Seko T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stoke City
39.4%
Draw
28.6%
Bristol City
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 28.4% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 29.3% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Stoke City - Bristol City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.35)
    3.28
    (3.33)
    2.96
    (3.02)
    5.8%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Stoke City - Bristol City?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bristol City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.
    • Recent performances by Stoke have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bristol City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Stoke has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Bristol City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Knight J. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Bocat E. (Injury) Lawal B. (Hamstring Injury) Pearson B. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Bristol City were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Bristol City - Stoke City 2:0
    22.10.2024 Stoke City - Bristol City 2:2
    04.05.2024 Stoke City - Bristol City 4:0
    30.09.2023 Bristol City - Stoke City 2:3
    07.04.2023 Stoke City - Bristol City 1:2
    Latest results of Stoke City
    25.10.2025 Portsmouth - Stoke City 0:1
    21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    30.09.2025 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:0
    Latest results of Bristol City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One