Barrow vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Holker Street (Barrow in Furness).

League Two - Round 25
Referee: Oldham J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.04	2.16
Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	5
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
2	6
Passes
69% (239/344)	66% (215/326)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.04	2.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.24	2.32
Total shots
9	9
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
3	1
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
8	8
Shots outside the box
1	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	2
Corner kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
14	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
6	11
Passes
69% (239/344)	66% (215/326)
Long passes
35% (29/82)	39% (34/88)
Passes in final third
52% (49/95)	54% (75/140)
Crosses
35% (6/17)	18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	1.19
Throw ins
34	31
Fouls
11	6
Tackles
53% (9/17)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
40	42
Clearances
41	14
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.32	0.24
Goals prevented
0.32	0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Leigh T. ⚽, Sparkes J. (A),
43', Anderson F. ↓, Shipley L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Cavegn F. ⚽, Senior J. (A),
64', MacDonald A. 🟨,
69', Jackson B. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
90+3', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barrow
34%

Draw
29.1%

Bristol Rovers
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Barrow - Bristol Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.52)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.53 ↓ (2.66)	7.1% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Barrow - Bristol Rovers?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Barrow (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.5 - Bristol Rovers (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bristol Rovers (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Barrow (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 20).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Barrow: Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Ankle Injury) Walker T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P. (Injury)
There are questionable in Barrow: Hemmings K. (Injury) Winterbottom B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Inactive) Morton C. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Barrow won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Bristol Rovers?

Barrow has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Barrow?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Bristol Rovers were as follows:

13.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Barrow 2:1

Latest results of Barrow

06.03.2026 Cheltenham Town - Barrow 2:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Barrow - Gillingham 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Fleetwood Town - Barrow 3:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Barrow - Harrogate Town 0:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Barrow - Colchester United 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

07.03.2026 Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town 3:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers 2:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	38	21	13	4	61:36	25	76
2	MK Dons	38	21	11	6	75:37	38	74
3	Cambridge Utd	37	19	12	6	55:28	27	69
4	Notts Co	37	20	7	10	60:37	23	67
5	Salford	38	21	4	13	54:47	7	67
6	Swindon	38	20	6	12	62:45	17	66
7	Grimsby	37	16	11	10	51:40	11	59
8	Chesterfield	38	15	14	9	60:52	8	59
9	Crewe	38	16	9	13	54:47	7	57
10	Walsall	38	16	9	13	46:40	6	57
11	Oldham	36	14	13	9	43:31	12	55
12	Barnet	38	14	12	12	46:42	4	54
13	Colchester	37	14	11	12	50:40	10	53
14	Fleetwood	38	13	12	13	47:46	1	51
15	Accrington	37	13	9	15	38:41	-3	48
16	Gillingham	37	11	12	14	43:54	-11	45
17	Cheltenham	37	11	9	17	41:60	-19	42
18	Shrewsbury	38	11	8	19	37:59	-22	41
19	Bristol Rovers	38	12	4	22	38:59	-21	40
20	Tranmere	38	9	9	20	48:68	-20	36
21	Crawley	38	6	13	19	36:59	-23	31
22	Newport	38	8	7	23	38:65	-27	31
23	Harrogate	38	7	9	22	29:57	-28	30
24	Barrow	37	7	8	22	36:58	-22	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League