Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (203/295) | 70% (178/253) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (203/295) | 70% (178/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (23/69) | 28% (15/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (48/96) | 57% (43/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, McEachran J. ⚽,
- 19', Canavan N. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 28', 2 - 0, Cavegn F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Cameron I. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
- 62', Smith S. ↓, Booty R. ↑,
- 63', Raglan C. 🟨,
- 67', Cavegn F. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 67', Chang A. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Mahoney C. ⚽, Newby E. (A),
- 85', Gordon J. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
- 85', Newby E. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
- 86', Fletcher I. 🟨,
- 89', Booty R. 🟨,
- 90', Senior J. ↓, Southam-Hales M. ↑,
- 90', Thomas L. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
- 90+1', Southam-Hales M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Sparkes J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
64% | Draw
21.9% | Barrow
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barrow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bristol Rovers - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.87) |
5.19 ↑
(3.43) |
8.39 ↑
(4.04) |
-8.9%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Barrow?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bristol Rovers will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19).
- Bristol Rovers is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Barrow has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Bristol Rovers is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Foley S.
(Injury)
Healey R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Fletcher I.
(Injury)
Harper R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jackson B.
(Injury)
Williams M.
(Hernia)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Barrow?
Bristol Rovers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Bristol Rovers?
Barrow has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Barrow were as follows:
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Swindon | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Crewe | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | Salford | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | MK Dons | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 17 |
| 11 | Barnet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 12 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Bromley | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 11 |
| 20 | Accrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 9 |
| 21 | Crawley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 7 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 6 |
| 24 | Newport | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
