Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        13/09/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.59 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 52% | 48% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 69% (203/295) | 70% (178/253) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.59 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.89 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 8 | 18 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 69% (203/295) | 70% (178/253) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 33% (23/69) | 28% (15/54) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 50% (48/96) | 57% (43/76) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 30% (7/23) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.70 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 23 | 16 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 80% (8/10) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 41 | 33 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 18 | 19 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.51 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.11 | -1.49 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, McEachran J. ⚽, 
- 19', Canavan N. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑, 
- 28', 2 - 0, Cavegn F. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Cameron I. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑, 
- 62', Smith S. ↓, Booty R. ↑, 
- 63', Raglan C. 🟨, 
- 67', Cavegn F. ↓, Harrison E. ↑, 
- 67', Chang A. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑, 
- 69', 2 - 1, Mahoney C. ⚽, Newby E. (A), 
- 85', Gordon J. ↓, Walker T. ↑, 
- 85', Newby E. ↓, Williams M. ↑, 
- 86', Fletcher I. 🟨, 
- 89', Booty R. 🟨, 
- 90', Senior J. ↓, Southam-Hales M. ↑, 
- 90', Thomas L. ↓, Issaka F. ↑, 
- 90+1', Southam-Hales M. 🟨, 
- 90+5', Sparkes J. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Bristol Rovers 64%
 | Draw 21.9%
 | Barrow 14%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Bristol Rovers - Barrow Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.67 ↓ (1.87)
 | 5.19 ↑ (3.43)
 | 8.39 ↑ (4.04)
 | -8.9% (7.4%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Barrow?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 2 - 100%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Bristol Rovers will win 
                    (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 19).
- Bristol Rovers is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Barrow has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Bristol Rovers is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Foley S.
(Injury)
Healey R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Fletcher I.
(Injury)
Harper R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jackson B.
(Injury)
Williams M.
(Hernia)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Barrow?
                    
                    
                        
                            Bristol Rovers has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Bristol Rovers?
                    
                    
                        
                             Barrow has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Barrow were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Bristol Rovers                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
English League Two Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 | 
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 | 
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 | 
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 | 
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 | 
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 | 
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 | 
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 | 
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 | 
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 | 
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 | 
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 | 
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 | 
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 | 
| 17 | Tranmere | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 16 | 
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 | 
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 | 
| 21 | Accrington | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 13 | 
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 | 
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 | 
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 | 
      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League