Result
2:0
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 33
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (196/311) | 73% (343/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (196/311) | 73% (343/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (30/92) | 42% (43/103) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (57/118) | 57% (97/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Drummond K. ⚽, Fondop-Talum M. (A),
- 18', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
- 28', Drummond K. 🟨,
- 28', Lockyer T. 🟨,
- 30', Pett T. 🟨,
- 37', Kavanagh C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Kilgour A. 🟨,
- 59', Fondop-Talum M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', 2 - 0, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽,
- 60', Kavanagh C. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
- 66', Lockyer T. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
- 68', Thomas L. 🟨,
- 72', Quigley J. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 72', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
- 72', Thomas L. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
- 79', Stevens J. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
- 80', Leigh T. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
- 85', Drummond K. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
- 85', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic
44.1% | Draw
27.7% | Bristol Rovers
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)The chances for Bristol Rovers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.1) |
3.38 ↑
(3.25) |
3.29 ↑
(3.25) |
7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Oldham (votes: 1 - 50%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Bristol Rovers (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Bristol Rovers (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Oldham Athletic will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Oldham (votes: 1 - 25%). Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2.
- Oldham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bristol Rovers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Oldham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Oldham will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
Sparkes J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Harbottle R.
(Inactive)
Lockyer T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Bristol Rovers?
Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Oldham Athletic?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
19.08.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Oldham Athletic
0:0
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62:33 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 45:43 | 2 | 52 |
| 9 | Barnet | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Walsall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40:35 | 5 | 50 |
| 11 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 14 | 49 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 35 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 33:54 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | -24 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:51 | -27 | 26 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
