Result
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Aston Villa
59.6% | Draw
24% | Burnley
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Aston Villa aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Aston Villa - Burnley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.56) |
4 ↓
(4.29) |
5.85 ↓
(5.86) |
4.3%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Burnley?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 16 - 80%). Burnley will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 62.5% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.
- Aston Villa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Burnley is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Burnley?
Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Aston Villa?
Burnley has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Burnley were as follows:
30.12.2023
Aston Villa
-
Burnley
3:2
27.08.2023
Burnley
-
Aston Villa
1:3
Latest results of Aston Villa
Latest results of Burnley
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Brighton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Fulham | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Manchester Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Newcastle | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Burnley | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | West Ham | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
