Aston Villa vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Aston Villa - Burnley
Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongNow Player, NOW Premier League 3
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, SuperSport 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+ Action

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.43
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
88% (434/494)80% (326/405)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.940.32
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2411
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
159
Passes
88% (434/494)80% (326/405)
Long passes
59% (23/39)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
73% (66/91)55% (55/100)
Crosses
73% (8/11)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.27
Throw-ins
917
Fouls
915
Tackles
73% (11/15)46% (13/28)
Duels won
5745
Clearances
215
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.322.94
Goals prevented
-0.680.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Foster L. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Malen D. , Kamara B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 59', Tchaouna L. , Bruun Larsen J. ,
  • 59', Anthony J. , Broja A. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Malen D. , Rogers M. (A),
  • 67', Watkins O. , Buendia E. ,
  • 67', McGinn J. , Guessand E. ,
  • 69', Foster L. , Ugochukwu L. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Ugochukwu L. , Hartman Q. (A),
  • 82', Laurent J. , Flemming Z. ,
  • 84', Cash M. , Lindelof V. ,
  • 84', Malen D. , Barkley R. ,
  • 90', Bogarde L. , Onana A. ,
  • 90+1', Buendia E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Buendia E. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 90+10', Esteve M. , Worrall J. ,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
59%
Draw
24.3%
Burnley
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 22.3% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 21.6% 16.8%

Aston Villa - Burnley Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.62
(1.56)
3.94
(4.29)
5.74
(5.86)
4.6%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 48 - 81.4%). Burnley will win (votes: 4 - 6.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 71.5%91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Burnley (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.
    • Aston Villa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Burnley has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mings T. (Injury) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Martinez E. (Calf Injury) Sancho J. (Illness)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Burnley were as follows:
    30.12.2023 Aston Villa - Burnley 3:2
    27.08.2023 Burnley - Aston Villa 1:3
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    02.10.2025 Feyenoord - Aston Villa 0:2
    28.09.2025 Aston Villa - Fulham 3:1
    25.09.2025 Aston Villa - Bologna 1:0
    21.09.2025 Sunderland - Aston Villa 1:1
    16.09.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 2:1
    Latest results of Burnley
    27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1
    23.09.2025 Burnley - Cardiff City 1:2
    14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal1182120:51526
    2Manchester City1171323:81522
    3Chelsea1162321:111020
    4Sunderland1154214:10419
    5Tottenham1153319:10918
    6Aston Villa1153313:10318
    7Manchester Utd1153319:18118
    8Liverpool1160518:17118
    9Bournemouth1153317:18-118
    10Crystal Palace1145214:9517
    11Brighton1144317:15216
    12Brentford1151517:17016
    13Everton1143412:13-115
    14Newcastle1133511:14-312
    15Fulham1132612:16-411
    16Leeds1132610:20-1011
    17Burnley1131714:22-810
    18West Ham1131713:23-1010
    19Nottingham1123610:20-109
    20Wolves110297:25-182

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship