Aston Villa vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongNow Player, NOW Premier League 3
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, SuperSport 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+ Action

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.43
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
88% (434/494)80% (326/405)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.940.32
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2411
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
159
Passes
88% (434/494)80% (326/405)
Long passes
59% (23/39)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
73% (66/91)55% (55/100)
Crosses
73% (8/11)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.27
Throw-ins
917
Fouls
915
Tackles
73% (11/15)46% (13/28)
Duels won
5745
Clearances
215
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.322.94
Goals prevented
-0.680.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Foster L. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Malen D. , Kamara B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 59', Tchaouna L. , Bruun Larsen J. ,
  • 59', Anthony J. , Broja A. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Malen D. , Rogers M. (A),
  • 67', Watkins O. , Buendia E. ,
  • 67', McGinn J. , Guessand E. ,
  • 69', Foster L. , Ugochukwu L. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Ugochukwu L. , Hartman Q. (A),
  • 82', Laurent J. , Flemming Z. ,
  • 84', Cash M. , Lindelof V. ,
  • 84', Malen D. , Barkley R. ,
  • 90', Bogarde L. , Onana A. ,
  • 90+1', Buendia E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Martinez E. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Buendia E. , Maatsen I. ,
  • 90+10', Esteve M. , Worrall J. ,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
59%
Draw
24.3%
Burnley
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 22.3% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 21.6% 16.8%

Aston Villa - Burnley Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.62
(1.56)
3.94
(4.29)
5.74
(5.86)
4.6%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 48 - 81.4%). Burnley will win (votes: 4 - 6.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 71.5%91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Burnley (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.
    • Aston Villa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Burnley has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aston Villa is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mings T. (Injury) Onana A. (Hamstring Injury) Tielemans Y. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: Martinez E. (Calf Injury) Sancho J. (Illness)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Burnley were as follows:
    30.12.2023 Aston Villa - Burnley 3:2
    27.08.2023 Burnley - Aston Villa 1:3
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    02.10.2025 Feyenoord - Aston Villa 0:2
    28.09.2025 Aston Villa - Fulham 3:1
    25.09.2025 Aston Villa - Bologna 1:0
    21.09.2025 Sunderland - Aston Villa 1:1
    16.09.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 2:1
    Latest results of Burnley
    27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1
    23.09.2025 Burnley - Cardiff City 1:2
    14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal18133233:112242
    2Manchester City18131443:172640
    3Aston Villa18123329:191039
    4Liverpool18102630:26432
    5Chelsea1885530:191129
    6Manchester Utd1885532:28429
    7Sunderland1877420:18228
    8Brentford1882828:26226
    9Crystal Palace1875621:20126
    10Fulham1882825:26-126
    11Tottenham1874727:23425
    12Everton1874718:20-225
    13Brighton1866626:25124
    14Newcastle1865723:23023
    15Bournemouth1857627:33-622
    16Leeds1855825:32-720
    17Nottingham18531018:28-1018
    18West Ham18341119:36-1713
    19Burnley18331219:34-1512
    20Wolves18021610:39-292

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship