Result
4:0
08/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 36
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 72% | 28% |
| Goal Attempts |
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| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 9 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 36 | 12 |
| Passes |
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| 89% (542/611) | 78% (180/230) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 81% (181/223) | 63% (40/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 12% (2/17) |
| Tackles |
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| 58% (7/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', Naismith K. 🟨,
- 16', Cullen J. 🟨,
- 19', Naismith K. 🟨,
- 25', Walsh L. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,
- 30', 1 - 0, McGuinness M. (Own goal),
- 39', 2 - 0, Foster L. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
- 41', Lucas Pires 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 3 - 0, Brownhill J. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
- 53', Clark J. 🟨,
- 59', Clark J. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
- 60', Adebayo E. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
- 60', Doughty A. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 62', Edwards M. ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
- 62', Brownhill J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 74', Lucas Pires ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
- 74', Anthony J. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
- 79', Jones I. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
- 80', Nelson Z. 🟨,
- 84', Foster L. ↓, Redmond N. ↑,
- 89', Esteve M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 4 - 0, Barnes A. ⚽, Laurent J. (A),
Chances of winning
Burnley
58.9% | Draw
26.1% | Luton Town
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Burnley - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.57) |
3.66 ↓
(3.9) |
6.31 ↑
(5.87) |
4.7%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burnley - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 29 - 96.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 90.3% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Burnley is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Luton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Burnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Burnley is a favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Calf Injury)
Chong T.
(Muscle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Burke R.
(Hip Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Burnley won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Luton Town?
Burnley has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Burnley?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Luton Town were as follows:
12.08.2024
Luton Town
-
Burnley
1:4
12.01.2024
Burnley
-
Luton Town
1:1
03.10.2023
Luton Town
-
Burnley
1:2
18.02.2023
Luton Town
-
Burnley
0:1
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Luton Town
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Coventry | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 7 |
| 4 | West Brom | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Preston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Leicester | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Southampton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Watford | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Swansea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Charlton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Hull | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Norwich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Ipswich | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 20 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 21 | Sheffield Wed | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | QPR | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
