Middlesbrough vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
29/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 24
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSporty TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.410.66
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
88
Shots on Goal
31
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
21
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
14
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
1210
Offsides
43
Fouls
1012
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1625
Touches in the Opposition Box
1524
Passes
87% (370/426)88% (448/512)
Passes in the final third
73% (64/88)77% (108/140)
Crosses
33% (2/6)8% (1/12)
Tackles
67% (12/18)42% (5/12)
Clearances Total
2213
Interceptions
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Edmundson G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Cullen J. 🟨,
  • 67', Mejbri H. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 73', Doak B. , Jones I. ,
  • 73', Burgzorg D. , McGree R. ,
  • 80', Flemming Z. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 80', Anthony J. , Koleosho L. ,
  • 81', Neto Borges , Engel L. ,
  • 83', Roberts C. 🟨,
  • 86', Koleosho L. 🟨,
  • 90', Brownhill J. , Foster L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
36.2%
Draw
29.2%
Burnley
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 27.2% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 28.3% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Middlesbrough's form might have worsened.
  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burnley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Middlesbrough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Middlesbrough - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.11)
    3.27
    (3.47)
    2.74
    (3.35)
    5.2%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 16 - 42.1%). Burnley will win (votes: 14 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 26.4%57.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 0.
    • Recent matches Middlesbrough is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Burnley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dieng S. (Injury) Forss M. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Morris A. (Muscle Injury) Smith T. (Injury) van den Berg R. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Sarmiento J. (Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:12 (average 0.9:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Burnley were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Burnley - Middlesbrough 1:1
    07.04.2023 Middlesbrough - Burnley 1:2
    17.12.2022 Burnley - Middlesbrough 3:1
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Burnley
    26.12.2024 Sheffield United - Burnley 0:2
    21.12.2024 Burnley - Watford 2:1
    15.12.2024 Norwich City - Burnley 1:2
    10.12.2024 Burnley - Derby County 0:0
    06.12.2024 Burnley - Middlesbrough 1:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One