Result
5:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FA Cup - 1/32-finals
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (632/700) | 77% (261/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (632/700) | 77% (261/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (100/128) | 62% (47/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 58% (15/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 2.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -2.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Barnes A. ⚽, Bruun Larsen J. (A),
- 34', Leonard R. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Tchaouna L. ⚽, Ekdal H. (A),
- 42', Sonne O. 🟨,
- 44', 3 - 0, Anthony J. ⚽, Bruun Larsen J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', Langstaff M. ↓, Coburn J. ↑,
- 61', Mitchell B. ↓, Howland J. ↑,
- 65', 4 - 0, Barnes A. ⚽,
- 66', Laurent J. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
- 66', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Florentino ↑,
- 66', Ballo T. ↓, Lamptey R. ↑,
- 66', Leonard R. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
- 78', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
- 80', Tchaouna L. 🟨,
- 83', Doughty A. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
- 85', Mejbri H. 🟨,
- 89', 5 - 0, Banel J. ⚽,
- 90+4', 5 - 1, Coburn J. ⚽, Lamptey R. (A),
Chances of winning
Burnley
53.4% | Draw
25.5% | Millwall
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Burnley - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.65) |
3.67 ↓
(3.73) |
4.46 ↓
(5.19) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burnley - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 30.1% – 75.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Millwall (1.89) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Millwall (8.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Millwall (votes: 8 - 88.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3.
- Burnley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Millwall has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Burnley is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Millwall?
Burnley has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Burnley?
Millwall has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Millwall were as follows:
03.05.2025
Burnley
-
Millwall
3:1
03.11.2024
Millwall
-
Burnley
1:0
21.02.2023
Millwall
-
Burnley
1:1
30.08.2022
Burnley
-
Millwall
2:0
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Millwall
Draw
Main1/128-finals| 1 | Stoke | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Coventry | |
| 5 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Middlesbrough | |
| 9 | Stevenage | Chesterfield | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Crewe | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Southampton | |
| 13 | Cheltenham | Bradford City | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Buxton | Chatham | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Leicester | |
| 17 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 21 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Bournemouth | |
| 25 | Manchester City | Bye | |
| 27 | FC Halifax | Exeter | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Wycombe | Plymouth | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Salford | Lincoln | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Tamworth | Leyton Orient | 0 : 1 |
| 31 | Rotherham | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Bolton | Huddersfield | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Boreham Wood | Crawley | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Newport | Gillingham | 3 : 2 |
| 35 | Brackley Town | Notts Co | 3 : 2 |
| 36 | Burton | St. Albans | 6 : 0 |
| 37 | West Ham | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | QPR | |
| 41 | Slough | Altrincham | 2 : 1 |
| 42 | Macclesfield | AFC Totton | 6 : 3 |
| 44 | Bye | Crystal Palace | |
| 45 | Sheffield Wed | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 49 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Millwall | |
| 53 | Sheffield Utd | Bye | |
| 55 | Gainsborough | Accrington | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Mansfield | Harrogate | 3 : 2 |
| 57 | Portsmouth | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 61 | Preston | Bye | |
| 63 | Wigan | Hemel Hempstead | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Spennymoor | Barrow | 0 : 2 |
| 65 | Grimsby | Ebbsfleet | 3 : 1 |
| 66 | Wealdstone | Southend | 1 : 0 |
| 67 | Chelmsford | Braintree | 4 : 1 |
| 68 | Weston-super-Mare | Aldershot | 2 : 1 |
| 69 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 71 | Sutton | AFC Telford | 2 : 1 |
| 72 | South Shields | Shrewsbury | 1 : 3 |
| 73 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 75 | Peterborough | Cardiff | 1 : 0 |
| 76 | Barnsley | York City | 3 : 2 |
| 77 | Manchester Utd | Bye | |
| 80 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 81 | Port Vale | Maldon & Tiptree | 5 : 1 |
| 82 | Bromley | Bristol Rovers | 1 : 2 |
| 83 | Fleetwood | Barnet | 2 : 1 |
| 84 | Luton | Forest Green | 4 : 3 |
| 85 | Bristol City | Bye | |
| 88 | Bye | Watford | |
| 89 | Colchester | MK Dons | 2 : 3 |
| 90 | Oldham | Northampton | 3 : 1 |
| 92 | Bye | Oxford Utd | |
| 93 | Everton | Bye | |
| 96 | Bye | Sunderland | |
| 97 | Wrexham | Bye | |
| 100 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 101 | Ipswich | Bye | |
| 103 | Blackpool | Scunthorpe | 1 : 0 |
| 104 | Reading | Carlisle | 2 : 3 |
| 105 | Hull | Bye | |
| 108 | Bye | Blackburn | |
| 109 | Charlton | Bye | |
| 112 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 113 | Tranmere | Stockport County | 1 : 3 |
| 114 | Cambridge Utd | Chester | 3 : 0 |
| 116 | Bye | Birmingham | |
| 117 | Derby | Bye | |
| 120 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 121 | Norwich | Bye | |
| 123 | AFC Wimbledon | Gateshead | 0 : 2 |
| 124 | Eastleigh | Walsall | 0 : 3 |
| 125 | Swansea | Bye | |
| 128 | Bye | West Brom | |
1/64-finals| 1 | Stoke | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Coventry | |
| 3 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Middlesbrough | |
| 5 | Chesterfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Southampton | |
| 7 | Cheltenham | Buxton | 6 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Leicester | |
| 9 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 11 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Bournemouth | |
| 13 | Manchester City | Bye | |
| 14 | Exeter | Wycombe | 4 : 0 |
| 15 | Salford | Leyton Orient | 4 : 0 |
| 16 | Swindon | Bolton | 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Boreham Wood | Newport | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Brackley Town | Burton | 1 : 3 |
| 19 | West Ham | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | QPR | |
| 21 | Slough | Macclesfield | 1 : 3 |
| 22 | Bye | Crystal Palace | |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 25 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Millwall | |
| 27 | Sheffield Utd | Bye | |
| 28 | Accrington | Mansfield | 2 : 3 |
| 29 | Portsmouth | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 31 | Preston | Bye | |
| 32 | Wigan | Barrow | 3 : 2 |
| 33 | Grimsby | Wealdstone | 4 : 0 |
| 34 | Chelmsford | Weston-super-Mare | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 36 | Sutton | Shrewsbury | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 38 | Peterborough | Barnsley | 0 : 1 |
| 39 | Manchester Utd | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 41 | Port Vale | Bristol Rovers | 1 : 0 |
| 42 | Fleetwood | Luton | 3 : 2 |
| 43 | Bristol City | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Watford | |
| 45 | MK Dons | Oldham | 3 : 1 |
| 46 | Bye | Oxford Utd | |
| 47 | Everton | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Sunderland | |
| 49 | Wrexham | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 51 | Ipswich | Bye | |
| 52 | Blackpool | Carlisle | 4 : 1 |
| 53 | Hull | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Blackburn | |
| 55 | Charlton | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 57 | Stockport County | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 1 |
| 58 | Bye | Birmingham | |
| 59 | Derby | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 61 | Norwich | Bye | |
| 62 | Gateshead | Walsall | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Swansea | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | West Brom | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Stoke | Coventry | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Fulham | Middlesbrough | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Southampton | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | Leicester | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tottenham | Aston Villa | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Newcastle | Bournemouth | 4 : 3 |
| 7 | Manchester City | Exeter | 10 : 1 |
| 8 | Salford | Swindon | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Boreham Wood | Burton | 0 : 5 |
| 10 | West Ham | QPR | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Macclesfield | Crystal Palace | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wed | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Burnley | Millwall | 5 : 1 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | Mansfield | 3 : 4 |
| 15 | Portsmouth | Arsenal | 1 : 4 |
| 16 | Preston | Wigan | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Grimsby | Weston-super-Mare | 3 : 2 |
| 18 | Wolves | Shrewsbury | 6 : 1 |
| 19 | Liverpool | Barnsley | 4 : 1 |
| 20 | Manchester Utd | Brighton | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Port Vale | Fleetwood | 1 : 0 |
| 22 | Bristol City | Watford | 5 : 1 |
| 23 | MK Dons | Oxford Utd | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Everton | Sunderland | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Wrexham | Nottingham | 4 : 3 |
| 26 | Ipswich | Blackpool | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Hull | Blackburn | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Charlton | Chelsea | 1 : 5 |
| 29 | Cambridge Utd | Birmingham | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | Derby | Leeds | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Norwich | Walsall | 5 : 1 |
| 32 | Swansea | West Brom | 2 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Stoke | Fulham | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Southampton | Leicester | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | Newcastle | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Manchester City | Salford | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Burton | West Ham | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | Brentford | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Burnley | Mansfield | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Arsenal | Wigan | 4 : 0 |
| 9 | Grimsby | Wolves | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Liverpool | Brighton | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Port Vale | Bristol City | |
| 12 | Oxford Utd | Sunderland | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Wrexham | Ipswich | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Hull | Chelsea | 0 : 4 |
| 15 | Birmingham | Leeds | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Norwich | West Brom | 3 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fulham | Southampton | |
| 2 | Newcastle | Manchester City | |
| 3 | West Ham | Brentford | |
| 4 | Mansfield | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Wolves | Liverpool | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | Sunderland | |
| 7 | Wrexham | Chelsea | |
| 8 | Leeds | Norwich | |
