Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 46
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (445/522) | 67% (137/204) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (445/522) | 67% (137/204) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (126/168) | 58% (42/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Ivanovic M. ⚽, Honeyman G. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Brownhill J. ⚽, Barnes A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', De Norre C. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Anthony J. ⚽,
- 77', Crama T. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
- 77', Ivanovic M. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 77', Honeyman G. ↓, Wintle R. ↑,
- 79', Barnes A. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
- 79', Edwards M. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 84', Mejbri H. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
- 84', Saville G. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Brownhill J. ⚽,
- 90+5', Brownhill J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burnley
61.6% | Draw
22.5% | Millwall
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Burnley - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.57) |
4.22 ↑
(3.84) |
5.92 ↓
(6.19) |
5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burnley - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 7).
- Burnley is Qualified for Premier League
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3.
- Burnley has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Millwall is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Burnley is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E.
(Muscle Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Humphreys B.
(Hip Injury)
Manuel Hedilazio B.
(Ankle Injury)
Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L.
(Inactive)
Lovelace Z.
(Knee Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell B.
(Injury)
Neghli C.
(Injury)
Scanlon C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wallace M.
(Inactive)
Watmore D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Bangura-Williams R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Bryan J.
(Inactive)
Roberts L.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Burnley will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Millwall?
Burnley has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Burnley?
Millwall has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Millwall were as follows:
03.11.2024
Millwall
-
Burnley
1:0
21.02.2023
Millwall
-
Burnley
1:1
30.08.2022
Burnley
-
Millwall
2:0
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Millwall
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
