Burnley vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Turf Moor (Burnley).

Championship - Round 46
Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	Net4+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	1.51
Ball Possession
72%	28%
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
9	4
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
85% (445/522)	67% (137/204)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	1.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.83	1.14
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
9	4
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
9	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
44	20
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	5
Free Kicks
16	5
Passes
85% (445/522)	67% (137/204)
Long passes
49% (22/45)	40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
75% (126/168)	58% (42/73)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.28	1.59
Throw-ins
18	22
Fouls
5	16
Tackles
78% (7/9)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
40	33
Clearances
16	29
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
1.14	1.83
Goals prevented
0.14	-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ivanovic M. ⚽, Honeyman G. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Brownhill J. ⚽, Barnes A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', De Norre C. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Anthony J. ⚽,
77', Crama T. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
77', Ivanovic M. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
77', Honeyman G. ↓, Wintle R. ↑,
79', Barnes A. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
79', Edwards M. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
84', Mejbri H. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
84', Saville G. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Brownhill J. ⚽,
90+5', Brownhill J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Burnley
61.6%

Draw
22.5%

Millwall
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.6%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

23.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Burnley - Millwall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)	4.22 ↑ (3.84)	5.92 ↓ (6.19)	5% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Burnley - Millwall?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 29.2% – 76.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 7).
Burnley is Qualified for Premier League
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3.
Burnley has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Millwall is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Burnley is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Hip Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Ankle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Injury)
There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Inactive) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Injury) Neghli C. (Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Wallace M. (Inactive) Watmore D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L. (Injury)
There are questionable in Millwall: Bangura-Williams R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Bryan J. (Inactive) Roberts L. (Inactive)
We predict that Burnley will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Millwall?

Burnley has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Burnley?

Millwall has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Millwall were as follows:

03.11.2024 Millwall - Burnley 1:0

21.02.2023 Millwall - Burnley 1:1

30.08.2022 Burnley - Millwall 2:0

Latest results of Burnley

26.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Burnley 0:5 ✺

21.04.2025 Burnley - Sheffield United 2:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Watford - Burnley 1:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Burnley - Norwich City 2:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Derby County - Burnley 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Millwall

26.04.2025 Millwall - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Millwall 4:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Sheffield United - Millwall 0:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One